华北水利水电大学学报（自然科学版）2025，Vol.46Issue(6)：84-91,8.DOI:10.19760/j.ncwu.zk.2025092
基于DEMATEL-ISM的水资源管理水平评价及障碍因素识别
Evaluation of Water Resources Management Level and Identification of Obstacle Factors Based on DEMATEL-ISM
摘要
Abstract
[Objective]Evaluating the management level of water resources and identifying its obstacles are of great signifi-cance for improving the management level of water resources and ensuring social well-being.[Methods]Taking Jiyuan City as an example,an evaluation index system covering 18 indicators such as total water consumption,water consumption per 10 000 yuan of GDP,and water quality compliance rate in water function zones was constructed.The regional water resources management level was evaluated using the improved TOPSIS method,and the main obstacles affecting the water resources management level were identified.The DEMATEL-ISM model was used to analyze the relationships among the main obstacle factors.[Results](1)During the study period,the overall score of water resources management level in Jiyuan City in-creased from 0.45 in 2013 to 0.79 in 2021,showing an overall upward trend,and the level of water resources management reached a better grade in 2021.(2)The main obstacles affecting the level of water resources management were the amount of groundwater exploitation,water consumption per 10 000 yuan of GDP,investment in water resources,and the maturity of the water resource carrying capacity early warning mechanism.(3)Water consumption per 10 000 yuan of GDP,water consump-tion per 10 000 yuan of industrial added value,and ecological flow guarantee rate of rivers,lakes,and reservoirs indirectly affected the water resources management target by influencing the total amount of water consumption.(4)Investment in water resources had a direct impact on the total water consumption,surface water supply,groundwater exploitation,and the degree of improvement of the water resources carrying capacity early warning mechanism,and it also indirectly affected other water supplies and per capita water resources.[Conclusion]The rational development and utilization of water resources in Jiyuan City,as well as the improvement of water resource utilization efficiency,remain the key points of water resource management.It is necessary to strictly control the intensity of water resource development and improve the early warning mechanism for wa-ter resource carrying capacity.关键词
水资源管理/障碍因素/DEMATEL-ISM/水资源利用效率Key words
water resource management/obstacle factors/DEMATEL-ISM/water resource utilization efficiency分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
李永芳,任苏明,王富强..基于DEMATEL-ISM的水资源管理水平评价及障碍因素识别[J].华北水利水电大学学报（自然科学版）,2025,46(6):84-91,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(U2443203,52279014,52109085) （U2443203,52279014,52109085）
河南省重点研发与推广专项(科技攻关)(232102320257) （科技攻关）
流域生态水文效应与水安全创新型科技团队培育项目(CXTDPY-3). （CXTDPY-3）
