电力建设2025，Vol.46Issue(12)：20-32,13.DOI:10.12204/j.issn.1000-7229.2025.12.003
自愿减排市场下发电主体交易策略
Trading Strategies of Power Generation Entities in the Voluntary Emission Reduction Market
摘要
Abstract
[Objective]In the context of the restart of the voluntary emission reduction market,in order to promote the coordinated construction of the electricity carbon certification market and effectively solve the decision-making problems faced by various power generation entities,a coupling mechanism of the electricity carbon certification market was proposed,and a trading decision model for power generation entities under multi market coupling was constructed.Sensitivity analysis was conducted on key parameters.[Methods]The proposed model is based on the coupling mechanism of the electricity carbon certification market and the clearing mechanism of each market.It considers the impact of the restart of the voluntary emission reduction market and sets constraints.The multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm is applied to solve the problem.At the same time,Morris screening and Sobol method are used to conduct sensitivity analysis around renewable energy consumption responsibility weights,baseline carbon emission factors,and certified emission reduction offset ratios.[Results]The Matlab simulation results show that the proposed model outputs a 44.55%increase in trading returns under multi market coupling compared to considering a single market.Sensitivity analysis results indicate that the total effect index of the parameter of renewable energy consumption responsibility weight is the highest at 0.79,and the rate of change in transaction costs of power generation entities significantly increases when this parameter is disturbed within the range of[23%,26%].When set to 24.5%,the rate of change reaches its peak at 5.44%.[Conclusions]The proposed model can effectively solve the decision-making problems faced by various power generation entities at the current stage,providing scientific and reasonable trading decision-making basis for each power generation entity.At the same time,the results of sensitivity analysis can provide scientific reference for optimizing multi market trading mechanisms and adjusting assessment indicators such as renewable energy consumption responsibility weights.关键词
电-碳-证耦合/交易决策/敏感性分析/核证自愿减排抵消比例/可再生能源消纳责任权重Key words
electricity carbon certification coupling/transaction decision/sensitivity analysis/verify the voluntary emission reduction offset ratio/renewable energy consumption responsibility weights分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
YI Tao,WANG Pengbo,LIU Yuan,SHI Weijun..自愿减排市场下发电主体交易策略[J].电力建设,2025,46(12):20-32,13.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目(72204086) This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.72204086). （72204086）
