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不同时间窗下滑坡加速开始点动态识别研究

丁辉

露天采矿技术2025,Vol.40Issue(6):7-12,6.
露天采矿技术2025,Vol.40Issue(6):7-12,6.DOI:10.13235/j.cnki.ltcm.20250200

不同时间窗下滑坡加速开始点动态识别研究

Research on dynamic identification of the starting point of landslide acceleration in different time windows

丁辉1

作者信息

  • 1. 中煤科工集团沈阳研究院有限公司,辽宁 抚顺 113122||露天煤矿灾害防治与生态保护全国重点实验室,辽宁 抚顺 113122
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摘要

Abstract

To study the dynamic identification rules of the starting point of landslide acceleration under different time windows,based on the characteristics of the uniform deformation stage in the three-stage creep deformation theory,the hypothesis testing method was applied to dynamically identify the critical moment point between the uniform stage and the acceleration stage.The influence of different time windows on the identification of the starting point of acceleration deformation was investigated.Combined with the case of landslide early warning,the effect of the identified acceleration moment point on the prediction of landslide time using the reciprocal of speed model was discussed.The results show that the hypothesis testing method can effectively determine the critical moment point between the uniform and acceleration stages of creep deformation.Different time windows have certain adaptability to the identification of the starting point of acceleration,and a larger time window cannot obtain an effective starting point of acceleration.When applying the landslide prediction model to predict the landslide time,the data after the acceleration moment point determined by using a smaller time window is more accurate for prediction.

关键词

蠕变理论/假设检验/滑坡灾害/时间窗/时间预测

Key words

creep theory/hypothesis testing/landslide disaster/time window/time prediction

分类

矿业与冶金

引用本文复制引用

丁辉..不同时间窗下滑坡加速开始点动态识别研究[J].露天采矿技术,2025,40(6):7-12,6.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划资助项目(2021YFC3001901) (2021YFC3001901)

露天采矿技术

1671-9816

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