热带地理2025，Vol.45Issue(12)：2197-2208,12.DOI:10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.20250323
地缘军事影响力:评价体系、空间演化与形成路径
Geomilitary Powers:Evaluation Framework,Spatial Evolution,and Configuration Pathways
摘要
Abstract
The persistent escalation of great power rivalries and regional conflicts has elevated military factors as increasingly critical variables that shape geopolitical relations and international power dynamics.Conducting an in-depth analysis of the spatial dynamics and formation pathways of geopolitical military influence is therefore of paramount importance for optimizing the allocation of military resources.Building upon the identified gaps in the existing literature on geopolitical military influence,this study employed an index system construction approach that integrated methodologies such as standard deviational ellipse analysis and fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis.A preliminary evaluation framework for assessing geopolitical military influence was developed,and its spatial evolution patterns and multidimensional formation mechanisms were examined.The findings revealed the following:(1)Military capability—represented by military financing,personnel strength,and defense industrial production—constitutes the foundational prerequisite for the generation of geopolitical military influence.Military cooperation—encompassing defense collaboration,joint military exercises,and international arms trade—enables the expansion and outward projection of such influence through diverse operational modalities.Military deterrence mechanisms—including nuclear,air-based,and sea-based deterrence—serve as critical manifestations of a nation's strategic acumen and technological prowess,collectively projecting coercive power to deter adversarial states.(2)The global geomilitary landscape demonstrates a stable pattern of"one superpower,many strong powers,"with the United States consistently maintaining its position as the most geopolitically influential military power.Concurrently,China and India exhibit significant upward trajectories,whereas Russia and the United Kingdom display declining trends.The dynamic shifts in national geomilitary powers have prompted a southeastward shift in the global power center,with China emerging as the principal driver of this movement.(3)The pathways to geomilitary power can be categorized into three types:synergistic pathways of military strength and cooperation,military cooperation-led pathways,and comprehensive pathways.The multi-condition configurational effects form a robust geomilitary power that cannot be achieved in the absence of core conditions or the presence of only auxiliary conditions.The evolutionary trajectory of a nation's geopolitical military influence progresses through distinct developmental stages—beginning with a military cooperation-led formation pathway,transitioning to a synergistic pathway combining military capability and cooperation,and ultimately ascending toward an integrated pathway.This escalating evolution maps the developmental trajectory through which states enhance their comprehensive national power and geopolitical military influence.This article's in-depth exploration of geopolitical and geomilitary power research not only enhances our understanding of the dynamic evolution of geomilitary power dynamics among different countries but also significantly enriches and expands the research scope of geopolitics and geopolitical military studies.This provides a crucial perspective for comprehending the transformation of the global geopolitical landscape.关键词
地缘军事影响力/军事实力/军事合作/军事威慑/大国博弈Key words
geomilitary power/military capability/military cooperation/military deterrence/macro-level struggle分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
郭卫东,徐伟,杜德斌,李祺祥..地缘军事影响力:评价体系、空间演化与形成路径[J].热带地理,2025,45(12):2197-2208,12.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(42501202) （42501202）
