生物技术进展2025，Vol.15Issue(6)：992-1002,11.DOI:10.19586/j.2095-2341.2025.0096
基于层次分析法的我国生物育种玉米产业化全链条风险评估
An AHP-based Comprehensive Assessment of Full-chain Risks in the Commercialization of Biotechnological Breeding Corn in China
摘要
Abstract
Corn is a major food crop worldwide.The development of biobreeding technologies,particularly those based on trans-genics and gene editing,holds promise for improving yield and stress resistance.In China,the industrialization of genetically modified corn has not yet been achieved and remains at the pilot stage.To assess the risks in its industrialization process,the ana-lytic hierarchy process(AHP),combined with expert opinions,was used to quantitatively analyze the key risk factors in the full industrial chain of bio-bred maize in China.The results indicated that the failure of transformant development was the most criti-cal risk,while seed production management,inbred line selection,and trait introgression also require focused prevention and control.Risks during planting and processing were highly interconnected,with issues such as admixture,seed sourcing,and qualification requirements being particularly prominent.Although the regulatory process was considered relatively controllable,improvements were still needed in labeling and testing accuracy.This study provides a quantitative foundation for risk manage-ment and policy development in the industrialization of biobreeding technologies.关键词
生物育种/产业化/全产业链/风险评估/层次分析法Key words
biotechnological breeding/commercialization/full industrial chain/risk assessment/analytic hierarchy process分类
生物科学引用本文复制引用
皇甫秉欣,张瑞奇,王腾,吴广枫,张领先,梁晋刚,贺晓云..基于层次分析法的我国生物育种玉米产业化全链条风险评估[J].生物技术进展,2025,15(6):992-1002,11.基金项目
国家农业生物育种重大专项(2022ZD0401909). （2022ZD0401909）
