安全、健康和环境2025,Vol.25Issue(12):9-13,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-7932.2025.12.002
极端环境下油气勘探事故初期处置行为形成因子研究
Research on the Formation Factors of Initial Response Behaviors in Oil and Gas Exploration Accidents under Extreme Environments
摘要
Abstract
To address the unclear causal mechanisms of initial response behaviors in oil and gas exploration accidents under extreme environments such as high altitude,low temperature,and hypoxia,this study builds on existing research on plateau environmental impacts.By combining typical accident analysis and the Delphi method,16 behavioral shaping factors across five categories were identified.An improved Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory(DEMATEL)-Adversarial Interpretive Structural Modeling(AISM)method was em-ployed to quantify factor correlations and hierarchical structures.The results indicate that extreme rain and snow(driving power:1.8913)is the strongest driving factor;practical training and drills(driving power:0.1761)belong to causal factors,indicating their fundamental driving role;job operation skills and escape skills are core dependent factors.The five categories of factors exhibit a multilayer hierarchical structure,with physical and mental states serving as key nodes linking other factors.The influence path demonstrates a unidirectional trans-mission characteristic from"high driving"to"low dependency."The study clarifies the key influence paths and core control nodes of initial response behaviors in oil and gas exploration accidents under extreme environments,providing a theoretical basis for accident prevention in such conditions.关键词
极端环境/油气勘探/事故初期处置/行为形成因子/系统建模Key words
extreme environments/oil and gas exploration/initial accident response/formation factor a-nalysis/system modeling分类
化学化工引用本文复制引用
Li Zhilin,Zhang Guangwen,Wang Chun,Shen Binliang,Liu Gang,Fan Yaping,Zhang Yiyi..极端环境下油气勘探事故初期处置行为形成因子研究[J].安全、健康和环境,2025,25(12):9-13,5.基金项目
中国石化科技部项目(P22226),羌塘盆地绿色油气勘探与安全环保技术. (P22226)