北京工业大学学报（社会科学版）2026，Vol.26Issue(1)：1-12,12.DOI:10.12120/bjutskxb202601001
中国式现代化发展大趋势
Development Trends of Chinese-Style Modernization:A Perspective from Changes of Regional Per Capita GDP(2001-2035)
摘要
Abstract
Regional disparities in development have long been a defining feature of China's national reality.As one of the countries with the widest variations in physical geography,demographic resources and socioeconomic conditions,China has seen profound shifts in the economic landscape of its 31 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities since the start of the 21st century.Measured in 2021 international dollars at purchasing-power-parity(PPP),provincial per capita GDP moved from"one China,four worlds"in 2001(low-income,lower-middle-income,upper-middle-income and high-income)to"one China,three worlds"in 2010(lower-middle-income,upper-middle-income and high-income),and further to"one China,two worlds"in 2024(upper-middle-income and high-income).Projections suggest that by 2030 China will approach"one China,one world,"with every region entering the high-income bracket;by 2035,per capita GDP in all 31 jurisdictions is expected to surpass the OECD's lower high-income threshold,making China the world's most populous moderately developed country and enabling it to basically realize her socialist modernization on schedule.关键词
中国式现代化/地区发展不平衡/人均GDP/中等收入群体/中等发达国家水平Key words
Chinese-style modernization/regional development imbalance/per capita GDP/the middle-income group/moderately developed country level分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
HU Angang..中国式现代化发展大趋势[J].北京工业大学学报（社会科学版）,2026,26(1):1-12,12.基金项目
中宣部全国哲学社会科学工作办公室国家高端智库专项项目(20155010298) （20155010298）
清华大学文科"双高"专项项目(53120600119) （53120600119）
