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考虑风光不确定性下基于主从博弈的机组联合优化调度策略

WANG Qingyuan LYU Lanxin ZHANG Fa YANG Di LI Xinzheng

电器与能效管理技术Issue(12):17-24,8.
电器与能效管理技术Issue(12):17-24,8.DOI:10.16628/j.cnki.2095-8188.2025.12.003

考虑风光不确定性下基于主从博弈的机组联合优化调度策略

Joint Optimal Dispatch Strategy for Units Based on Master-Slave Game Considering Uncertainty of Wind and Solar Power

WANG Qingyuan 1LYU Lanxin 1ZHANG Fa 1YANG Di 1LI Xinzheng1

作者信息

  • 1. Gaoyou Power Supply Company,State Grid Jiangsu Electric Power Co.,Ltd.,Yangzhou 225600,China
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In order to improve the economy and reliability of a high proportion of new energy power system,a joint optimal dispatch strategy for units based on master-slave game considering the uncertainty of wind and solar power is proposed.Firstly,the transformer long short-term memory(LSTM)hybrid model is constructed to predict the wind and solar power output,and the Wasserstein distance is used to establish the dynamic confidence interval to describe the uncertainty of wind and solar power output.Secondly,a two-level game model between wind and solar power generators and thermal power units is established,and the risk premium and the penalty mechanism of wind and solar abandonment are introduced to optimize the output plan and reserve capacity.Finally,a case study is conducted.The results show that the proposed strategy can effectively reduce the wind and solar curtailment rate and improve the operation economy of the system,which provides a solution for the uncertain optimal dispatch of high proportion of new energy power systems.

关键词

不确定性/主从博弈/Transformer-LSTM混合预测/动态置信区间/能源调度

Key words

uncertainty/master-slave game/Transformer-LSTM hybrid prediction/dynamic confidence interval/power dispatch

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

WANG Qingyuan,LYU Lanxin,ZHANG Fa,YANG Di,LI Xinzheng..考虑风光不确定性下基于主从博弈的机组联合优化调度策略[J].电器与能效管理技术,2025,(12):17-24,8.

电器与能效管理技术

2095-8188

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