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考虑故障率的变压器全寿命周期成本评估

ZHAO Shuyuan CHEN Heng ZHANG Yixi LI Jingjia XIN Cheng JIANG Xue YAO Fan ZHANG Kai

内蒙古电力技术2025,Vol.43Issue(6):66-74,9.
内蒙古电力技术2025,Vol.43Issue(6):66-74,9.DOI:10.19929/j.cnki.nmgdljs.2025.0077

考虑故障率的变压器全寿命周期成本评估

Whole Life Cycle Cost Assessment of Transformers Based on Failure Rate

ZHAO Shuyuan 1CHEN Heng 1ZHANG Yixi 1LI Jingjia 1XIN Cheng 2JIANG Xue 3YAO Fan 4ZHANG Kai1

作者信息

  • 1. School of Energy Power and Mechanical Engineering,North China Electric Power University,Beijing 102206,China
  • 2. State Grid Economic and Technological Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 102209,China
  • 3. Economic and Technological Research Institute of State Grid Liaoning Electric Power Co.,Ltd.,Shenyang 110015,China
  • 4. Economic and Technological Research Institute of State Grid Chongqing Electric Power Company,Chongqing 401100,China
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

As a key equipment in the power system,transformers have received significant attention from engineering researchers in production practice and scientific research,while ensuring safe operation.The goal of transformer research is to reasonably save the life cycle cost(LCC)of transformers while ensuring their safe operation.This study focuses on the full life cycle cost of transformers,which is divided into initial cost,operating cost,maintenance cost,failure cost,and decommissioning cost.By statistically analyzing the historical fault data of transformers,a corresponding transformer fault tree model is established and the fault rate of a single fixed age transformer is calculated.Based on the distribution of transformer faults,a full life cycle cost model for transformers is constructed to estimate the corresponding full life cycle cost.Taking 110 kV transformer as an example,the differences in the impact of various influencing factors on the cost of the entire life cycle are analyzed,which provides auxiliary support for the selection and maintenance decision-making of transformers,and improves the management level of transformers,and extend their service life.In addition,the correlation between transformer reliability and full LCC is explored,and it is found that the failure rate has a more significant impact on LCC by affecting operation and maintenance(O&M)and failure costs.

关键词

变压器/全寿命周期成本/故障率/状态检修/成本评估

Key words

transformer/full life cycle cost/failure rate/condition-based maintenance/cost assessment

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

ZHAO Shuyuan,CHEN Heng,ZHANG Yixi,LI Jingjia,XIN Cheng,JIANG Xue,YAO Fan,ZHANG Kai..考虑故障率的变压器全寿命周期成本评估[J].内蒙古电力技术,2025,43(6):66-74,9.

基金项目

国家电网有限公司科技项目"统一大市场与减碳发展下输变电工程方案优选与造价稳控关键技术研究"(5200-202356133A-1-1-ZN) (5200-202356133A-1-1-ZN)

内蒙古电力技术

1008-6218

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