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我国气电发展展望及政策建议

QIAO Nan

石油石化绿色低碳2025,Vol.10Issue(6):19-24,54,7.
石油石化绿色低碳2025,Vol.10Issue(6):19-24,54,7.DOI:10.20131/j.cnki.syshlsdt.20251120.002

我国气电发展展望及政策建议

Outlook and Policy Recommendations for the Development of Gas-Fired Power in China

QIAO Nan1

作者信息

  • 1. Beijing Branch of SINOPEC Petroleum Engineering Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100083,China
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Gas-fired power is an important form of power source globally.Its development scale is affected by multiple factors such as resources,prices,policies,and markets.In recent years,the installed capacity of gas-fired power in China has been increasing year by year,with a relatively large proportion in the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta.The coordinated development of gas and electricity has become closer,and gas-fired power has become the third largest utilization form of natural gas.In the future,with the continuous and rapid development of new energy sources such as wind and solar power in China,flexible gas-fired power will play a greater role.Especially when business models such as"coal-fired power+CCUS"and long-term energy storage are not yet mature,gas-fired power will be an important means to integrate new energy and build a power peak-shaving system.It is expected that the installed capacity of gas-fired power in China will reach 250 million kilowatts by 2030 and peak at about 300 million kilowatts by 2040.It is suggested that various regions should layout gas-fired power projects according to local conditions in combination with the characteristics of power demand and gas source guarantee models.The southeast coastal areas should rely on LNG receiving station resources to focus on building distributed energy supply of"gas-fired power+new energy".The western regions should take advantage of domestic gas resources and new energy endowments to explore the construction of large bases of"gas-fired power+new energy".At the same time,it is suggested that the national level should improve the gas-fired power price mechanism,improve the peak-shaving value system,deepen the coordinated development of gas and power,and continue to increase the research and development of localization of heavy-duty gas turbines,so as to provide support and guarantee for the development of gas-fired power and serve the construction of a new energy system.

关键词

气电/天然气/新能源/政策建议/新型能源体系/电力调峰/装机容量/价格机制

Key words

gas-fired power/natural gas/new energy/policy recommendations/new energy system/electric peak shaving/installation capacity/price mechanism

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

QIAO Nan..我国气电发展展望及政策建议[J].石油石化绿色低碳,2025,10(6):19-24,54,7.

石油石化绿色低碳

2095-0942

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