石油石化绿色低碳2025，Vol.10Issue(6)：34-40,7.DOI:10.20131/j.cnki.syshlsdt.20251113.001
某能源化工企业碳排放特征及碳达峰预测分析
Analysis of Carbon Emission Charaeteristies and Carbon Peak Prediction for an Energy and Chemical Enterprise
LI Wei 1LIU Chan 1SHI Yali 1XI Wangchun 1LAN Binxiang 1BAI Liangcong1
作者信息
- 1. Shaanxi Yanchang Petroleum(Group)Co.,Ltd.,Xi'an,Shaanxi 710000,China
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
To deeply explore the characteristics of carbon emissions,a certain enterprise uses the LEAP model to analyze the carbon emission trends and peak paths of the enterprise under different scenarios.After calculation,carbon emissions under the low-carbon scenario will peak in 2029 and then gradually decline.By 2030,the total amount will be 7.48%lower than the peak.With the continuous deepening of energy conservation and carbon reduction policies and the orderly advancement of key projects such as"coal-to-electricity"and"coal-to-gas",enterprises'reliance on high carbon energy sources like coal and crude oil will further decrease.The proportion of emissions from fossil fuel combustion will continue to decline,while the proportion of electricity emissions will steadily increase.The energy consumption structure will steadily transform towards a clean,low-carbon,safe and efficient direction.关键词
能源化工企业/碳排放/碳达峰/绿色低碳/LEAP模型/基准情景/低碳情景Key words
energy and chemical enterprises/carbon emission/carbon peak/green low-carbon/LEAP/baseline scenario/low carbon scenario分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
LI Wei,LIU Chan,SHI Yali,XI Wangchun,LAN Binxiang,BAI Liangcong..某能源化工企业碳排放特征及碳达峰预测分析[J].石油石化绿色低碳,2025,10(6):34-40,7.
