西安石油大学学报（社会科学版）2025，Vol.34Issue(6)：17-29,13.
中美贸易摩擦对中国进口澳大利亚农产品的影响研究
Research on the Impact of Sino-US Trade Friction on China's Import of Australian Agricultural Products
摘要
Abstract
This study focused on the impact of Sino-US trade friction on China's import of Australian ag-ricultural products,and adopted the PPML-DID model of panel data to carry out empirical analysis on China's import data of agricultural products from Australia and other three countries from 2013 to 2023.Research has found that trade frictions have led to fluctuations of"expansion-contraction-rebound"in agricultural product trade between China and Australia,highlighting the urgency of building a diversified supply chain in our country.Sino-US trade friction has had a significant inhibitory effect on China's imports of Australian agri-cultural products.Sino-US trade friction has led to a decline in China's imports of Australian agricultural products by as much as 70.06％,and a decrease in import value of 63.75％.The decline in import value was about 7 percentage points smaller than that in import volume,and the Sino-US trade friction did not have a systemic impact on the overall price level of China's imports of Australian agricultural products.In terms of the heterogeneity of imported agricultural product types,wheat imports have shown a steady and one-sided up-ward trend,while barley imports have been significantly affected by policies.Therefore,China should deepen agricultural cooperation with regions such as South America and Southeast Asia to reduce market risks caused by reliance on a single supply source.This study provides an empirical basis for understanding the dynamic changes of China's foreign agricultural trade relations in a complex trade environment,and has certain reference value for relevant policy formation.关键词
中美贸易摩擦/进口农产品/澳大利亚/双重差分模型Key words
Sino-US trade friction/imported agricultural product/Australia/difference-in-differences model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
DUAN Pei..中美贸易摩擦对中国进口澳大利亚农产品的影响研究[J].西安石油大学学报（社会科学版）,2025,34(6):17-29,13.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目"农业服务外包的技术溢出效应及其空间路径研究"(7190031396) （7190031396）
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目"数字技术赋能农村新质生产力发展的机理及路径研究"(24YJC790014) （24YJC790014）
山西省哲学社会科学规划一般课题"脱贫摘帽后乡村振兴发展及返贫预警研究——以山西省36个贫困县为例"(2022YY067) （2022YY067）
山西省社科联重点课题研究项目"山西省农业数字化服务平台体系创新研究"(SSKLZDKT2023074). （SSKLZDKT2023074）
