西安理工大学学报2025，Vol.41Issue(4)：486-498,13.DOI:10.19322/j.cnki.issn.1006-4710.2025.04.004
中国旅游业生态韧性与高质量发展协同效应及仿真模拟
Ecological resilience and high-quality development synergistic effects in China's tourism industry:simulation and modeling
摘要
Abstract
Guiding the transformation of the tourism industry towards high-quality development is a crucial approach to achieving the dual goals of ecological civilization construction and economic prosperity.This study employs the methods such as the entropy weight method,coupling coordi-nation model,and system dynamics model to evaluate the synergistic effect between the ecological resilience and high-quality development of China's provincial tourism industry from 2011 to 2019,and conducts simulation and prediction for the development from 2024 to 2035.The results are as follows:① The comprehensive development levels of both the ecological resilience development and high-quality development of China's tourism industry have steadily increased.The former shows a spatial distribution pattern of"higher in the east and lower in the central and western re-gions",while the latter presents a pattern of"higher in the southeast and lower in the north-west".② The coupling coordination degree between the ecological resilience and high-quality de-velopment of China's tourism industry has generally increased.In terms of the temporal trend,it has gone through an evolutionary trajectory from the stage of being on the verge of maladjustment to the transitional stage and then to the coordinated stage.In terms of spatial distribution,it shows the characteristics of"higher in the east and lower in the west,and higher in the south and lower in the north",with obvious polarization characteristics.③ Through simulation,it is found that the ecology-first model is widely applicable in various provinces,that the economy-driven model is significant in the western region,and that the industrial innovation model is applicable in the central and western regions.关键词
生态韧性/高质量/旅游业/中国/仿真模拟Key words
ecological resilience/high-quality/tourism industry/China/simulation modeling分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
颜璐,杨柳,王明辰,郭啸霆,于丽萍..中国旅游业生态韧性与高质量发展协同效应及仿真模拟[J].西安理工大学学报,2025,41(4):486-498,13.基金项目
国家社会科学基金资助项目(22XMZ069) （22XMZ069）
新疆财经大学研究生科研创新资助项目(XJUFE2025K037) （XJUFE2025K037）
