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极端复杂场景下救援力量效能评估与优化

许建华 张雪华 齐松 买莹 吕瑞瑞 邓铎 姚子龙

灾害学2026,Vol.41Issue(1):157-163,7.
灾害学2026,Vol.41Issue(1):157-163,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-811X.2026.01.020

极端复杂场景下救援力量效能评估与优化

Assessment and Optimization of Rescue Force Effectiveness in Extremely Complex Scenarios:A Case Study of the 2025 Myanmar M7.9 Earthquake

许建华 1张雪华 1齐松 1买莹 1吕瑞瑞 1邓铎 1姚子龙2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国地震应急搜救中心,北京 100049
  • 2. 北京市朝阳区消防救援支队四惠消防救援站,北京 100025
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

An in-depth investigation is constructed into the assessment and optimization of rescue force effec-tiveness in extremely complex scenarios,employing the 2025 Myanmar M7.9 arthquake rescue as a case study.Following the earthquake,which resulted in severe casualties and infrastructure damage,international rescue efforts were confronted with numerous challenges,including complex geographical conditions,fragile local infrastructure,and ongoing political conflicts.Against this backdrop,a comprehensive evaluation index system designed to assess rescue force effectiveness is established across four key dimensions:response capability,operational capability,sup-port capability,and environmental adaptability.Utilizing the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP)and fuzzy compre-hensive evaluation model,a quantitative assessment of rescue force effectiveness is performed.The results indicate that the overall effectiveness of international rescue forces reached a satisfactory level,with a composite score of 0.741.Furthermore,the research identifies information transmission efficiency,medical resource coverage,and ter-rain adaptability as the critical factors influencing rescue effectiveness.Through the optimization of rescue force al-location,there is potential to enhance rescue effectiveness by 9.9%.Based on the insights derived from the rescue operations,a series of optimization strategies are proposed.These include the construction of more efficient infor-mation transmission channels,the pre-deployment of medical resources,and the development of specialized rescue equipment.These strategies aim to provide robust theoretical guidance and practical references for conducting res-cue operations in extremely complex scenarios.The importance of improving key factors are highlighted such as in-formation transmission,medical resource allocation,and terrain adaptability in future rescue efforts.By addressing these factors,it is anticipated that the effectiveness of rescue operations can be significantly improved,thereby en-hancing the overall capacity to respond to and manage major natural disasters in complex environments.

关键词

极端复杂场景/救援力量/效能评估/优化策略/缅甸地震

Key words

extremely complex scenarios/rescue forces/effectiveness assessment/optimization strategies/Myanmar earthquake

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

许建华,张雪华,齐松,买莹,吕瑞瑞,邓铎,姚子龙..极端复杂场景下救援力量效能评估与优化[J].灾害学,2026,41(1):157-163,7.

基金项目

国家重点研发计划"'一带一路'重特大地震地质灾害协同监测应急响应示范"(2017YFB0504104) (2017YFB0504104)

灾害学

1000-811X

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