资源开发与市场2026，Vol.42Issue(1)：54-64,11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1005-8141.2026.01.006
天山北坡耕地利用转型时空演变及其驱动因素研究
Spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors of cultivated land use transition on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains
摘要
Abstract
To optimize the pattern of cultivated land use,find out the development trend of cultivated land use,and provide a basis for cultivated land protection in the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains.From the perspectives of spatial and functional morpholog-ical transformation,this paper used the entropy method,spatial autocorrelation and OPGD model to reveal the spatio-temporal evolution pattern and influencing factors of cultivated land use transformation with the help of ArcGIS spatial expression technology.The results showed that:①From the perspective of temporal and spatial changes,from 2000 to 2020,the level of spatial morphological transforma-tion gradually increased,the functional morphological transformation showed a gradual fluctuation trend,the high-value area gradually spread from the central core city to the peripheral city,the comprehensive transformation index showed an upward trend,and the culti-vated land use transformation pattern formed a spatial pattern of coexistence of high-value areas dominated by the central basin plain and the western Ili River Valley Plain and the low-value area of the eastern mountains.② From the perspective of spatial agglomera-tion characteristics,the spatial morphological transformation showed a trend of first decreasing,then increasing,and finally decreasing,reaching its peak in 2010,with the clustering area gradually development from a dual core to a multi-core,and the degree of functional morphological transformation and agglomeration showed a trend of first increasing,then decreasing,and finally tending to level off,and the agglomeration area was generally located in the central region.③From the perspective of driving factors,the impact of urbanization rate,per capita fixed asset investment and population density on the transformation of cultivated land use was more prominent.In conclu-sion,the results of cultivated land use transformation on the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountains are gradually improving,but there are still regional differences,and the driving role of population and socio-economic factors on the transformation should be used to pro-mote the sustainable use of cultivated land resources and realize the optimal transformation of cultivated land use.关键词
耕地利用格局/空间形态/功能形态/驱动因素/OPGD模型/天山北坡Key words
arable land use pattern/spatial form/functional morphology/drivers/OPGD model/the northern slope of the Tian Shan Mountains分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
马雪梦,阿依吐尔逊·沙木西,赵俊..天山北坡耕地利用转型时空演变及其驱动因素研究[J].资源开发与市场,2026,42(1):54-64,11.基金项目
新疆维吾尔自治区高校基本科研项目(编号:XJEDU2023J018). （编号:XJEDU2023J018）
