北京师范大学学报（自然科学版）2025，Vol.61Issue(6)：825-834,10.DOI:10.12202/j.0476-0301.2025082
基于多主体模型的水库型水源地有机肥补贴政策响应模拟与优化
Simulation and optimization of organic fertilizer subsidy policy response in reservoir-type water source areas on agent-based model
摘要
Abstract
To address the challenges of insufficient incentives and low coordination efficiency in the governance of agricultural non-point source pollution in reservoir-type water source areas,this study develops a multi-agent simulation framework that incorporates key stakeholders,including farmers,agricultural product buyers,water utilities,and government authorities.By accounting for farmer heterogeneity and fiscal incentive mechanisms,the model systematically evaluates the economic outcomes for different actors and the environmental impacts under various organic fertilizer subsidy scenarios.The simulation case results show that a moderate subsidy intensity(60%-70%)maximizes multi-party benefits,facilitates farmer transition,and encourages market participation.In contrast,low subsidy levels fail to drive change,while excessively high subsidies yield diminishing marginal returns despite improved environmental outcomes.The proposed model provides a quantitative tool for optimizing organic fertilizer subsidy policies,helping policymakers balance fiscal inputs with environmental governance outcomes,and supporting ecological protection and green development of water source areas.关键词
生态环境保护/水源地/补贴政策/多主体模型/协同机制Key words
ecological environmental protection/water source areas/subsidy policy/multi-agent model/coordination mechanism分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
姚明磊,吴一帆,郑家祥,余涛,李玮,陈宇杨..基于多主体模型的水库型水源地有机肥补贴政策响应模拟与优化[J].北京师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2025,61(6):825-834,10.基金项目
国家重点研发计划资助项目(2023YFC3205600) （2023YFC3205600）
中国长江三峡集团有限公司科研资助项目(NBWL202200489) （NBWL202200489）
