北京师范大学学报（自然科学版）2025，Vol.61Issue(6)：869-876,8.DOI:10.12202/j.0476-0301.2025042
窟野河流域多维度水资源承载力分析及障碍度诊断
Analysis of multi-dimensional water resource carrying capacity and diagnosis of obstacle degree in the Kuye River basin
摘要
Abstract
Addressing the ecological fragility,frequent floods and droughts,and water supply-demand tensions in the Kuye River basin,this study established a tailored evaluation system comprising 22 representative indicators across three dimensions:water resources,socio-economy,and eco-environment.A combination of the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and the entropy weight method was employed to determine subjective and objective weights,respectively.The TOPSIS model was then used to assess the dynamic evolution of multi-dimensional water resources carrying capacity(WRCC)from 2010 to 2023.Furthermore,the obstacle degree model was applied to identify key limiting factors.The results indicate that the overall WRCC in the basin exhibited a fluctuating upward trend during this period,with its status gradually transitioning from overloaded to weakly carrying.This improvement is primarily attributed to significant enhancements in the socio-economic and eco-environmental dimensions.The nine principal obstacles to WRCC were identified as:water supply modulus,ecological and environmental water use rate,water consumption per 10 000 yuan of GDP,drought index,water consumption per 10 000 yuan of industrial value-added,per capita water resources utilization,water area ratio,proportion of surface water sources,and forest coverage rate.The findings aim to provide decision-making support for promoting efficient water resource utilization,adjusting economic and industrial layouts,and optimizing the population structure in the basin.关键词
窟野河流域/TOPSIS模型/多维度/动态/障碍因子Key words
Kuye River basin/TOPSIS model/multi-dimensional/dynamic/obstacle factors分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
裴云,石奇伟,段利民..窟野河流域多维度水资源承载力分析及障碍度诊断[J].北京师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2025,61(6):869-876,8.基金项目
国家重点研发计划资助项目(2022YFC3204400) （2022YFC3204400）
国家自然科学基金黄河水科学联合基金资助项目(U2243234) （U2243234）
内蒙古自治区自然科学基金资助项目(2022MS05055) （2022MS05055）
内蒙古农业大学基本科研业务费专项资助项目(BR251018) （BR251018）
内蒙古自治区科技领军人才团队资助项目(2022LJRC0007) （2022LJRC0007）
