干旱区地理2026,Vol.49Issue(1):106-116,11.DOI:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.789
基于PVAR模型的中国快速交通、旅游经济与旅游生态效率关系研究
Relationship between rapid transportation,tourism economy and tourism eco-efficiency in China based on PVAR model
摘要
Abstract
The coordinated interaction among rapid transportation,tourism economy,and tourism eco-efficiency is crucial for promoting the green transformation of tourism and achieving high-quality development.Based on China's provincial panel data from 2009 to 2022,this study constructs a panel vector autoregression model to ex-plore the interaction mechanisms,dynamic relationships,and regional heterogeneity among the three elements.The findings reveal that(1)Rapid transportation,tourism economy,and tourism eco-efficiency all exhibit posi-tive growth trends,with a mainstream transition toward a benign equilibrium supported by gradual development from lower to higher levels.(2)Bidirectional Granger causality exists between rapid transportation and the tour-ism economy at both the national and eastern regional levels,implying a positive but short-lived interactive re-sponse.Rapid transportation has strong self-reinforcing characteristics,while the tourism economy is primarily self-driven yet significantly influenced by rapid transportation.(3)Only unidirectional Granger causality is ob-served between rapid transportation and tourism eco-efficiency.The positive driving effect of rapid transportation on tourism eco-efficiency tends to fluctuate and diminish,while the impact of tourism eco-efficiency on rapid transportation remains weak.Their interaction is notably imbalanced,with low mutual variance contribution rates.(4)Bidirectional Granger causality between the tourism economy and tourism eco-efficiency exists at the national level,characterized by strong and effective short-term driving of the tourism economy,which contrasts with the persistent weakness and disorderly effects of tourism eco-efficiency.Tourism eco-efficiency lacks suffi-cient endogenous momentum,with the tourism economy contributing the most to its variance in the eastern and central regions.关键词
快速交通/旅游经济/旅游生态效率/PVAR模型Key words
rapid transportation/tourism economy/tourism eco-efficiency/PVAR model引用本文复制引用
李亚茹,白洋,周春山,陈明珠..基于PVAR模型的中国快速交通、旅游经济与旅游生态效率关系研究[J].干旱区地理,2026,49(1):106-116,11.基金项目
新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学基金项目(2024BMZ096) (2024BMZ096)
新疆大学研究生教育教学改革项目(XJDX2024YJG24) (XJDX2024YJG24)
新疆维吾尔自治区研究生科研创新项目(XJ2024G067)资助 (XJ2024G067)