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双碳源情形下场外采样逆推排速的碳监测法

刘悦 秦子依

计量学报2025,Vol.46Issue(12):1737-1745,9.
计量学报2025,Vol.46Issue(12):1737-1745,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1158.2025.12.05

双碳源情形下场外采样逆推排速的碳监测法

Carbon Monitoring Method Based on Off-Site Sampling and Back-Calculation of Emission Rates under Dual Carbon Source Scenarios

刘悦 1秦子依1

作者信息

  • 1. 江苏大学 财经学院,江苏 镇江 212013
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To address the challenges of dynamic diffusion monitoring and precise accounting for dual carbon emission sources in complex terrains,this study builds on single emission sources to develop a carbon molecular diffusion dynamics model grounded in three-dimensional Brownian motion.By orthogonally decomposing carbon molecular velocity vectors and integrating Maxwell velocity distribution with Boltzmann distribution laws,we systematically established a three-dimensional kinematic equation framework for carbon molecules at the microscopic scale.Introducing the"stopping time"criterion from stochastic process theory and terrain state functions(absorption,semi-absorption,and flotation states),the model achieves dual-phase dynamic characterization spanning from free-fall to stagnation states.The diffusion coefficients were optimized using a gradient descent algorithm,enabling the inversion of emission rates and calculation of relative errors against measured values,thereby validating the model's industrial-grade applicability.A technical framework of"model calibration-data inversion-dynamic correction"was proposed,which overcomes the limitations of traditional static accounting methods.This framework significantly enhances spatiotemporal resolution and incorporates terrain-state mechanisms into carbon fate analysis,strengthening the model's real-world interpretability.The relative errors of the two carbon source scenarios model inversion results are 6.9%and 1.2%,which are within the allowable error range,respectively,falling within acceptable error margins.This method can accurately invert dual-source emission rates.

关键词

碳监测/双碳排放源/停时/排放速率反演/碳分子扩散模型/地形状态函数

Key words

carbon monitoring/dual carbon emission sources/stopping time/emission rate inversion/carbon molecular diffusion model/terrain state functions

分类

通用工业技术

引用本文复制引用

刘悦,秦子依..双碳源情形下场外采样逆推排速的碳监测法[J].计量学报,2025,46(12):1737-1745,9.

基金项目

国家社科面上项目(23BJY085) (23BJY085)

国家社科基金重大项目(22&ZD136) (22&ZD136)

江苏省碳达峰碳中和科技创新专项(BE2022612,BE2022610) (BE2022612,BE2022610)

计量学报

OA北大核心

1000-1158

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