林业经济问题2026，Vol.46Issue(1)：97-112,16.DOI:10.16832/j.cnki.1005－9709.20250221
数字经济发展、数字鸿沟与中国林产品出口
Digital Economy Development,Digital Divide and China's Forest Products Exports
摘要
Abstract
⑴Background——China is the world's largest producer,consumer,and trader of forest products.Digital trade serves as a new engine for foreign trade development.Existing studies have primarily focused on the role of digital technologies in enhancing the value conversion efficiency of forest ecological products,promoting the de-velopment of the forestry industry,facilitating the digital transformation of relevant entities,and increasing farm-ers'incomes.However,research on the impact of the digital economy on China's forest products export trade re-mains limited. ⑵ Methods——First,this paper put forward research hypotheses based on theoretical analysis.Then,it selected 60 countries that imported forest products from China from 2007 to 2022 as the research objects,con-structed a multi-dimensional indicator system to evaluate the digital economy development level of the destination countries,and used the fixed effect model and the mediation effect model to analyze the impacts of the digital e-conomy development level of the destination countries on China's forest products exports to them.Meanwhile,it explored the heterogeneous impacts of the countries with different economic development levels and different types of forest products.Finally,it further analyzed the threshold effects in the promotion of China's forest products exports by the digital economy development of the destination countries. ⑶ Results——First,the development of the digital economy in the destination countries can significantly promote the growth of China's forest products exports to them.Second,the development of the digital economy in the destination countries has a positive impact on China's forest products exports by reducing trade costs,enhan-cing trade facilitation,and improving institutional quality.Third,the development of the digital economy in the destination countries has a more significant promoting effect on the export of resource-intensive forest products.The developed countries have a more significant promoting effect on China's forest products exports to them.Fourth,the digital divide between the destination countries and China has a non-linear impact on China's forest products exports.That is,the greater the digital divide,the weaker the promoting effect. ⑷Conclusions and Discussions——First,promote multilateral dialogues on digital trade rules,facilitate mutual recognition of electronic certification and forest products traceability standards.Relying on the Digital Silk Road,provide smart customs and intelligent logistics solutions to the developing countries.Strengthen technologi-cal cooperation with the developed countries to jointly develop traceability systems and AI-powered quality in-spection tools.Second,improve the digital supply chain and enhance technological compatibility.Relying on the industrial internet platform,integrate the Internet of Things and digital services to build an integrated ecosystem of"production,trade and services".Support the development of cross-border e-commerce and digital service providers to provide integrated solutions for small and medium-sized enterprises.Third,deepen the differentia-tion of the structure of forest products for exports,and enhance the digital collaborative capabilities for the exports of resource-intensive forest products.Fourth,establish an early warning mechanism for dealing with digital risks.Dynamically assess the digital ecosystem of the exporting countries and monitor the changes in the digital divide.关键词
数字经济/林产品出口/数字鸿沟Key words
digital economy/forest products exports/digital divide分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
荆柱洲,庄逸群,张洋,戴永务..数字经济发展、数字鸿沟与中国林产品出口[J].林业经济问题,2026,46(1):97-112,16.基金项目
国家自然科学基金面上项目(71973027)、国家社会科学基金青年项目(24CJY116) （71973027）
