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新基建投资赋能新质生产力:双路径机制与门槛效应检验

杨思敏 陈明生 朱昆杰

统计与决策2026,Vol.42Issue(1):24-30,7.
统计与决策2026,Vol.42Issue(1):24-30,7.DOI:10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2026.01.004

新基建投资赋能新质生产力:双路径机制与门槛效应检验

New Infrastructure Investment Empowering New Quality Productivity:Dual-Path Mechanisms and Threshold Effect Test

杨思敏 1陈明生 1朱昆杰2

作者信息

  • 1. 中国政法大学 商学院,北京 100088
  • 2. 中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院,北京 100190||中国科学院大学,北京 100049
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Under the new development paradigm,new infrastructure investment acts as a strategic pivot for fostering new quality productivity.This paper first constructs a three-dimensional evaluation system for new quality productivity based on sys-tems theory,which includes basic elements,developmental elements and combinational elements.Secondly,by using the provin-cial panel data from 2012 to 2023,an empirical analysis is conducted to examine the impact effect and mechanism of new infra-structure investment on new quality productivity.Finally,the threshold effect of new infrastructure investment on new quality pro-ductivity is further tested.The findings are shown as follows:(1)New infrastructure investment drives the development of new quality productivity through two paths:triggering the reconfiguration of employment in skill-intensive services and promoting the digital transformation of enterprises.(2)The results of the heterogeneity test indicate that the new infrastructure investment in re-gions with lower technological innovation capabilities has no significant impact on new quality productivity.In regions with higher economic development levels and stronger technological innovation capabilities,the promoting effect is more significant.(3)The positive impact of new infrastructure investment on new quality productivity has a threshold effect.Each region needs to have cer-tain technological and digital foundations.

关键词

新质生产力/新基建投资/系统论/技能密集型服务就业重构/企业数字化转型

Key words

new quality productivity/new infrastructure investment/system theory/employment reconstruction of skill-in-tensive services/digital transformation of enterprises

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

杨思敏,陈明生,朱昆杰..新基建投资赋能新质生产力:双路径机制与门槛效应检验[J].统计与决策,2026,42(1):24-30,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(L2424120 ()

L2524002) ()

湖南省教育厅科学研究优秀青年项目(22B0618) (22B0618)

中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院基础能力增强计划(E5X0801Z01) (E5X0801Z01)

湖南省教育厅科学研究优秀青年项目(24B0577) (24B0577)

统计与决策

1002-6487

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