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气候视角下"江汉大米"的生产优势、风险及对策

邓艳君 黄永平 叶佩 刘凯文 刘敏

中国稻米2026,Vol.32Issue(1):82-88,7.
中国稻米2026,Vol.32Issue(1):82-88,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-8082.2026.01.014

气候视角下"江汉大米"的生产优势、风险及对策

Production Advantages,Risks,and Countermeasures of"Jianghan Rice"by a Climatic Perspective

邓艳君 1黄永平 1叶佩 1刘凯文 2刘敏1

作者信息

  • 1. 荆州市气象局,湖北 荆州 434020
  • 2. 湖北省气候中心,武汉 430074
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

As a key provincial public brand cultivated by Hubei Province,"Jianghan Rice"shoulders the critical mission of driving the transformation of Hubei's rice industry from"scale-driven expansion"to"quality-oriented strengthening".Its core production region,the Jianghan Plain,has emerged as Hubei's premium rice-producing area,leveraging its unique climatic endowments of abundant temperature,sunlight,and water resources,as well as innovative practices in eco-integrated farming models such as rice-fish co-culture.Against the backdrop of global climate warming,the Jianghan Plain has become the most pronounced warming zone in Hubei over the past six decades.This warming trend yields dual impacts:on one hand,increased accumulated temperature extends the optimal growth period for rice,facilitating yield improvements and expanding the cultivable boundaries of medium-and late-maturing varieties northward and westward;on the other hand,the intensified frequency of extreme climate events—including torrential rains/floods,droughts,and heatwaves—poses severe threats to the stability of rice yields and quality.Through a systematic climate-centric analysis,this paper unveiled the climatic opportunities and risks confronting the development of the"Jianghan Rice"industry:(1)Adaptability disparities among rice varieties to"warm-humid"climate conditions,with certain varieties at risk of shortened growth durations and heightened pest/disease pressures;(2)The sensitivity of key quality-forming stages(grain-filling period)to high-temperature stress,directly impacting rice grain appearance quality and taste attributes;(3)The imperative for systemic reforms in cropping systems triggered by climate warming,which places traditional maturity-type and variety combinations under pressure for reconfiguration.To address these challenges,this paper proposed three strategic pathways:(1)Establishing a"Jianghan Rice"variety breeding and iteration system,prioritizing the development of new varieties with heat tolerance,lodging resistance,and consistent premium yields;(2)Optimizing the spatial layout of industry with climate adaptability by instituting a"variety-region-technology"matching mechanism grounded in climate zoning;(3)Innovating meteorological risk mitigation and insurance service models through the development of climate index insurance products covering the entire industrial chain,thereby constructing a closed-loop management system integrating"pre-disaster early warning,in-disaster response,and post-disaster compensation".

关键词

江汉大米/气候风险/气象风险减量服务

Key words

Jianghan Rice/climate risks/meteorological risk mitigation service

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

邓艳君,黄永平,叶佩,刘凯文,刘敏..气候视角下"江汉大米"的生产优势、风险及对策[J].中国稻米,2026,32(1):82-88,7.

基金项目

湖北省自然科学基金气象联合基金项目(2022CFD126) (2022CFD126)

中国气象局创新发展专项(CXFZ2024J049) (CXFZ2024J049)

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFD2300203) (2022YFD2300203)

中国稻米

1006-8082

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