信阳师范大学学报（自然科学版）2026，Vol.39Issue(1)：36-45,10.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.2097-583X.2026.01.005
黄河流域县域经济高质量发展驱动机制研究
Research on the driving mechanism of county economic high quality development in the Yellow River Basin:Based on the Random Forest Model
摘要
Abstract
The high quality development of county economies serves as a crucial foundation for implementing national strategies,including advancing high quality development in the Yellow River Basin.An evaluation index system for the high quality development of county level economy was constructed and the entropy weight-TOPSIS method was adopted to conduct quantitative analysis and evaluation on the level of high quality development of county level economy in the Yellow River Basin,and a Random Forest Model was used to explore its driving mechanism.The findings revealed that:(1)The level of high quality development of county level economy in the Yellow River Basin was continuously improved.Among them,counties with a high development level were concentrated in Shandong and Inner Mongolia;counties with a medium development level were mainly located in Henan Province;and counties with a low development level were mainly distributed in Gansu and Shanxi in Gansu and Shanxi Provinces;(2)The high quality development of county level economy in the Yellow River Basin was driven by factors such as policy,population,economy,resources,nature and location,and the order of driving intensity was:policy>population>economy>resources>nature>location;(3)There were differences in the response thresholds of the high quality development level of county-level economy in the Yellow River Basin to the leading driving factors.Among these factors,farmers income,industrial development,investment intensity,fiscal expenditure and technological innovation exhibited non-linear positive impacts,while food security showed a non-linear negative impact.To promote the high quality development of county level economy in the Yellow River Basin,suggestions were put forward,including formulating scientific economic regulation policies,continuously increasing farmers income,accelerating industrial transformation and upgrading,enhancing technological innovation capabilities,and increasing agricultural awards and subsidies.关键词
黄河流域/县域经济/高质量发展/随机森林模型Key words
Yellow River Basin/county economy/high quality development/Random Forest Model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
周广亮,王彤彤,张迪,张绍阳..黄河流域县域经济高质量发展驱动机制研究[J].信阳师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2026,39(1):36-45,10.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(23BJY249) （23BJY249）
河南省高校哲学社会科学创新团队(2024-CXTD-04) （2024-CXTD-04）
