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基于TOP_DMV模型的缺资料地区设计洪水计算

唐川 潘思颖 王超兴 杨开斌

水力发电2026,Vol.52Issue(2):35-39,68,6.
水力发电2026,Vol.52Issue(2):35-39,68,6.

基于TOP_DMV模型的缺资料地区设计洪水计算

Design Flood Calculation for Data-scarce Regions Based on the TOP_DMV Model:A Case Study of a Hydropower Station in Southeast Asia

唐川 1潘思颖 1王超兴 1杨开斌1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国电建集团昆明勘测设计研究院有限公司,云南 昆明 650051
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

With the global expansion of hydropower development into data-scarce regions,the calculation of design floods presents new challenges.Taking a hydropower station in Southeast Asia as a case study,an improved TOP_DMV model is proposed based on the TOPMODEL framework,integrating its semi-distributed structure with the Nash geomorphological unit hydrograph to enhance runoff routing accuracy.The model's applicability in data-deficient areas is validated through parameter calibration and transfer from the downstream X hydrological station.The results demonstrate that the model yields a 500-year design flood peak discharge of 3 600 m3/s and a Probable Maximum Flood(PMF)peak discharge of 6 280 m3/s,with deviations within 30%compared to traditional hydrological analogy methods.Notably,the model's accuracy is improved significantly for higher-magnitude flood events.While discrepancies in simulated flood processes are observed due to the limitations in input rainfall data,the model also demonstrates robust overall performance,offering a novel approach for flood design in data-scarce regions of Southeast Asia.

关键词

洪水设计/缺资料地区/TOP_DMV模型/参数移植/模型验证

Key words

flood design/data-scarce region/TOP_DMV model/parameter transfer/model validation

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

唐川,潘思颖,王超兴,杨开斌..基于TOP_DMV模型的缺资料地区设计洪水计算[J].水力发电,2026,52(2):35-39,68,6.

基金项目

云南省数字水工程技术创新中心项目(202305AK34-0003) (202305AK34-0003)

水力发电

0559-9342

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