新疆师范大学学报（自然科学版）2026，Vol.45Issue(2)：11-22,12.
淮河生态经济带新型城镇化与城市韧性耦合协调发展分析
Coupling Coordination Analysis of New Urbanization and Urban Resilience in the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt
摘要
Abstract
In this paper,by constructing a new urbanization and urban resilience evaluation system,the entropy method and CRITIC method were used to calculate the development level of new urbanization and urban resilience in 25 cities in the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt.The coupling coordination degree model was used to measure the coupling coordination development status,and the spatial autocorrelation model and panel Tobit model were used to explore the spatial agglomeration types and key influencing factors of coupling coordination.The results show that:(1)Both of the level of new urbanization and urban resilience development are on the rise,manifested as a bipolar pattern of"high in the north and low in the south"and a spatial distribution feature of"high in the northeast and low in the southwest".(2)The level of coupled and coordinated development is steadily increasing,and cities with imbalanced types are gradually shifting towards coordinated types.The coupling coordination degree exhibits obvious spatial clustering characteristics,with high-high clustering in the north and low-low clustering in the middle.(3)The strength of positive influencing factors is manifested as follows:economic development level>risk response capability>technological innovation capability>infrastructure construction level>market demand capability>urban opening-up level>ecological construction level>social construction level.The research results can provide scientific decision-making references for the new urbanization development of cities in the Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt,and promote the balanced and coordinated development and resilience construction of cities in the region.关键词
新型城镇化/城市韧性/耦合协调度模型/淮河生态经济带Key words
New urbanization/Urban resilience/Coupling coordination model/Huaihe River Ecological Economic Belt分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
张恒,李爽,郑兵云..淮河生态经济带新型城镇化与城市韧性耦合协调发展分析[J].新疆师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2026,45(2):11-22,12.基金项目
安徽财经大学校级科研重点项目(ACKYB24015). （ACKYB24015）
