中国电机工程学报2026,Vol.46Issue(1):74-86,中插6,14.DOI:10.13334/j.0258-8013.pcsee.241271
基于平均场微分博弈均衡的煤-电市场价格联动机理分析
Coal-electricity Price Interaction Mechanism Analysis Based on Mean-field Differential Game Equilibrium
摘要
Abstract
Under the construction of a unified national market,coal-fired generation units are required to fully participate in the coal and electricity market.Massive coal-fired generation units can establish an interaction between coal and electricity prices,significantly shaping how the market operates.This paper investigates this issue from the perspective of non-cooperative game.Firstly,the operational model of coal-fired generation units and their decision model for participating in coal and electricity markets are proposed to construct the non-cooperative differential game.Secondly,based on the mean-field theory,the dimensionality of the large-scale game is effectively reduced.Then,the mean-field differential game problem is transformed into a min-max saddle point problem,and the proximal primal-dual gradient descent algorithm is used to generate analytical iterations.Drawing on a Northwest China case study,this paper explores the interaction between coal and electricity prices under two scenarios:the stable coal supply and the coal supply shortage.The study reveals:the coal inventory of coal-fired enterprises can effectively suppress price peaks in the coal and electricity markets;during periods of insufficient power supply caused by coal shortages,profit-driven stockpiling by coal-fired enterprises creates a spillover effect.Finally,this paper proposes operational and regulatory suggestions for the coal and electricity markets based on these phenomena.关键词
煤-电价格联动/煤电机组/微分博弈/平均场博弈/均衡分析Key words
coal-electricity price interaction/coal-fired generation unit/differential game/mean-field game/equilibrium analysis分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
孙啸天,谢海鹏,刘诗雨,何佳蒙,肖云鹏,别朝红..基于平均场微分博弈均衡的煤-电市场价格联动机理分析[J].中国电机工程学报,2026,46(1):74-86,中插6,14.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(青年科学基金项目)(523B2077).Project Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Young Scientistic Program)(523B2077). (青年科学基金项目)