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2021年郑州"7·20"特大暴雨移置山东大汶河流域洪水分析研究

姚萌 侯世文

中国防汛抗旱2026,Vol.36Issue(1):26-32,7.
中国防汛抗旱2026,Vol.36Issue(1):26-32,7.DOI:10.16867/j.issn.1673-9264.2025054

2021年郑州"7·20"特大暴雨移置山东大汶河流域洪水分析研究

Flood analysis and research on the transposition of the Zhengzhou"7·20"extreme rainstorm in 2021 to the Dawen River Basin in Shandong Province

姚萌 1侯世文1

作者信息

  • 1. 泰安市水文中心,泰安 271000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Conducting research on possible floods and their scheduling plans in the Dawen River Basin in Shandong Province is of great significance for the planning and comprehensive management of the Dawen River Basin.Taking the"7·20"extremely heavy rainstorm process in Zhengzhou as a typical rainstorm process in the Dawen River Basin,a practical scheme for watershed runoff generation and concentration is established,the possible flood process in the Dawen River Basin is discussed,and the regulation and storage capacity of the existing reservoir operation scheme for possible extreme floods is analyzed.The results show that if the"7·20"extremely heavy rainstorm in Zhengzhou occurs in the Dawen River Basin,the maximum water level of large and medium-sized reservoirs is lower than the design water level,and the average peak shaving ratio of reservoir flood regulation is 33.9%;The important sections of the main stream and tributaries exceed the guaranteed flow rate;Dongping Lake,without considering the diversion of Yellow River floods,adopts the method of using the old and new lakes in the West Lake area without breaking the Jinshan Dam to protect the old lake.The highest water level is 42.52 meters below the flood control operation level.The research results can provide reference for further improving the"four predictions"ability of forecasting,early warning,rehearsal,and contingency plan in the Dawen River Basin,and have certain engineering application value.

关键词

郑州"7·20"特大暴雨/暴雨移置/大汶河流域/可能遭遇洪水/水库调度

Key words

Zhengzhou"7·20"extreme rainstorm/storm transposition/Dawen River Basin/potential flood risk/reservoir operation

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

姚萌,侯世文..2021年郑州"7·20"特大暴雨移置山东大汶河流域洪水分析研究[J].中国防汛抗旱,2026,36(1):26-32,7.

中国防汛抗旱

1673-9264

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