中国人口·资源与环境2025，Vol.35Issue(11)：82-92,11.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20250307
数字普惠金融对农业碳全要素生产率影响的因果效应
Causal effect of digital inclusive finance on agricultural carbon total factor productivity
摘要
Abstract
Against the backdrop of global climate change and China's"dual carbon"goals,improving agricultural carbon total factor productivity(CTFP)is of strategic significance for achieving high-quality and sustainable agricultural development.This study em-ployed China's provincial panel data from 2011 to 2021,measuring agricultural CTFP and,based on the theory of induced technologi-cal change,applied a continuous difference-in-differences model to empirically analyze the impact of digital inclusive finance on agri-cultural CTFP and its mechanisms.The findings revealed that:① Agricultural CTFP exhibited an overall upward trend,fluctuating through three phases:growth,decline,and renewed growth.Spatially,it followed a descending pattern of"central>eastern>western re-gions,"with interregional gaps gradually narrowing.② Digital inclusive finance significantly enhanced agricultural CTFP(regression coefficient:0.258).Among its three dimensions,coverage breadth contributed the most,followed by usage depth,while digitization level showed no significant effect.③ Mechanism analysis confirmed that digital inclusive finance elevated agricultural CTFP by optimizing production factor inputs,primarily through capital-for-labor substitution;energy input played no significant role.④ Heterogeneity re-sults indicated regional disparities:the effect was most pronounced in grain-dominant,low-slope,and arable-land-abundant regions but insignificant in grain-dominant,high-slope,and arable-land-abundant regions,as well as in arable-land-scarce regions with poor grain production resources.Thus,policymakers should prioritize expanding coverage breadth and deepening usage depth of digital inclusive finance while tailoring its spatial distribution to regional agricultural features and natural endowments.Emphasis should be placed on enhancing digital infrastructure and financial accessibility,particularly in grain-dominant,low-slope,and arable-land-abundant re-gions,to propel agriculture's green transition.关键词
数字普惠金融/农业碳全要素生产率/要素投入/诱致性技术变迁Key words
digital inclusive finance/agricultural carbon total factor productivity/factor input/induced technological change分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
闵锐,陈霞,吴清华,冷博峰,王艳婷..数字普惠金融对农业碳全要素生产率影响的因果效应[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2025,35(11):82-92,11.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目"农业直接补贴政策的粮食全要素生产率增长效应:理论构建、实证评估与政策优化"(批准号:72003201) （批准号:72003201）
中南民族大学2024年校级研究生教育教学研究项目"《农产品市场营销》课程思政深化:中国'三农'故事驱动的案例教学设计与实践"(批准号:YJS24007). （批准号:YJS24007）
