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气候变化对作物病虫害影响的研究进展

李心怡 陈欣童 赵闯 王茜 丛佳慧 林若薇 邱渝欣 杨晓光

作物学报2026,Vol.52Issue(2):331-348,18.
作物学报2026,Vol.52Issue(2):331-348,18.DOI:10.3724/SP.J.1006.2026.53041

气候变化对作物病虫害影响的研究进展

Effects of climate change on crop diseases and insect pests

李心怡 1陈欣童 1赵闯 1王茜 1丛佳慧 1林若薇 1邱渝欣 1杨晓光1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国农业大学资源与环境学院,北京 100193
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Global climate change is systematically exacerbating the damage caused by crop pests and diseases through in-creased temperatures,altered precipitation regimes,and elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations,posing severe challenges to national food security.This paper reviews the current status and characteristics of crop pest and disease occurrences in China,along with the mechanistic influences of climate change on their dynamics.It reveals the core processes,including accelerated pest development and northward expansion due to rising temperatures,bidirectional regulation of pests and diseases by altered precipitation patterns,and the indirect impact of elevated CO2 concentrations on pest and disease dynamics by changing the physiology of host plants.Furthermore,interactions among multiple factors(such as combined heat and humidity)are shown to amplify risks substantially.While a preliminary integrated framework has been established—encompassing stress-resistant crop breeding,development of green pesticides,smart monitoring and early warning systems,and adaptive agronomic prac-tices—significant knowledge gaps remain.These include insufficient understanding of molecular response mechanisms,lim-ited quantification of dynamic processes,and fragmented modeling of regional disaster patterns.Moving forward,it is impera-tive to advance research on the multi-dimensional coupling mechanisms within the"climate-crop-pest"system,integrate multi-modal data and artificial intelligence technologies,and develop a proactive,data-driven prevention and control system for enhanced resilience.

关键词

气候变化/作物病虫害/温度/降水/二氧化碳

Key words

climate change/crop pests and diseases/temperature/precipitation/carbon dioxide

引用本文复制引用

李心怡,陈欣童,赵闯,王茜,丛佳慧,林若薇,邱渝欣,杨晓光..气候变化对作物病虫害影响的研究进展[J].作物学报,2026,52(2):331-348,18.

基金项目

本研究由2025年中国气象局乡村振兴气象服务专项(2025101010YE050)资助.This study was supported by the Rural Revitalization Meteorological Service Special Project of China Meteorological Administration(2025101010YE050). (2025101010YE050)

作物学报

0496-3490

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