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基于Monte-Carlo的弃渣场可靠度分析

董福 李鹏 王武钢

陕西水利Issue(2):6-9,4.
陕西水利Issue(2):6-9,4.

基于Monte-Carlo的弃渣场可靠度分析

Reliability Analysis of a Waste Disposal Site Based on the Monte Carlo Method

董福 1李鹏 2王武钢3

作者信息

  • 1. 浙江华东岩土勘察设计研究院有限公司,浙江 杭州 310030||长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西 西安 710064
  • 2. 长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西 西安 710064
  • 3. 陕西地矿第二地质大队,陕西 西安 710064
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Due to the heterogeneous particle size distribution of waste materials during accumulation,geotechnical parameters obtained from different sampling locations exhibit significant spatial variability.To investigate the impact of rainfall on the stability of a waste disposal slope in Ziyang County,field investigations and laboratory tests were conducted,and the randomness of internal friction angle and cohesion was considered.Reliability analysis under different rainfall conditions was performed using Geo-Studio software combined with the Monte Carlo method.The failure probability and safety factor of the slope under various conditions were obtained.This probabilistic approach compensates for the limitations of traditional deterministic numerical calculations and enhances the accuracy of slope stability prediction,providing a technical reference for subsequent remediation of the waste disposal site.

关键词

弃渣场/可靠度分析/Monte-Carlo/Geo-Studio

Key words

Waste disposal site/reliability analysis/Monte Carlo method/Geo-Studio

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

董福,李鹏,王武钢..基于Monte-Carlo的弃渣场可靠度分析[J].陕西水利,2026,(2):6-9,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金重大基金专项项目(42041006) (42041006)

中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(300102261402,300102260105) (300102261402,300102260105)

国土资源部黄土地质灾害重点实验室开放基金(KLGLAMLR201506) (KLGLAMLR201506)

陕西水利

1673-9000

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