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中国能源新质生产力发展水平测度、区域差异和动态演进分析

金刚 张金锁 许建

西安科技大学学报2026,Vol.46Issue(1):27-37,11.
西安科技大学学报2026,Vol.46Issue(1):27-37,11.DOI:10.13800/j.cnki.xakjdxxb.2026.0103

中国能源新质生产力发展水平测度、区域差异和动态演进分析

Measurement,regional differences and dynamic evolution of new quality productive forces development in China's energy field

金刚 1张金锁 2许建3

作者信息

  • 1. 西安科技大学能源与矿业工程学院,陕西西安 710054||陕西省能源产业绿色低碳发展软科学研究基地,陕西延安 716000
  • 2. 陕西省能源产业绿色低碳发展软科学研究基地,陕西延安 716000||延安大学经济与管理学院,陕西延安 716000
  • 3. 陕西省能源产业绿色低碳发展软科学研究基地,陕西延安 716000||延安大学经济与管理学院,陕西延安 716000||西安科技大学管理学院,陕西西安 710054
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Under the dual imperatives of China's"carbon peaking and carbon neutrality"targets and the ongoing energy revolution,a scientific assessment of the development level of New Quality Produc-tive Forces of Energy has become essential for promoting high-quality energy development.To address these shortcomings,this research develops a multidimensional evaluation index system based on the driving factors of New Quality Productive Forces of Energy.We employ the CRITIC method with time-varying weights to derive indicator weights and apply the TOPSIS model to assess development levels across 30 Chinese provinces from 2012 to 2023.Further,we decompose regional disparities using the Dagum Gini coefficient and investigate dynamic evolution characteristics via both traditional and spatial Markov chains.The results show that since 2012 China's New Quality Productive Forces of Energy has increased steadily nationwide;the eastern region has maintained a persistent lead,while the central and western regions are catching up;regional disparities tend to converge and the spatial pattern continues to optimize.There is strong state persistence and upward mobility across development tiers,with high-level regions exhibiting pronounced leadership and positive spillover effects.Moreover,the number of disruptive energy technology innovations,the intensity of internal R&D expenditure in the energy indus-try,the share of renewable power generation,the intensity of R&D personnel in the energy industry,and the degree of digital-intelligent transformation in the energy sector are the principal factors shaping the development level of China's New Quality Productive Forces of Energy.The findings provide practical insights for promoting the coordinated evolution and high-quality development of China's New Quality Productive Forces of Energy.

关键词

能源新质生产力/发展水平/统计测度/区域差异/动态演进/空间分解

Key words

new quality productive forces of energy/development level/statistical measurement/region-al differences/dynamic evolution/spatial convergence

分类

矿业与冶金

引用本文复制引用

金刚,张金锁,许建..中国能源新质生产力发展水平测度、区域差异和动态演进分析[J].西安科技大学学报,2026,46(1):27-37,11.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(71273206) (71273206)

教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(22YJA630100) (22YJA630100)

西安科技大学学报

1672-9315

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