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一次东北冷涡降雹过程的防雹效果分析

尚博 刘博 蔡淼 雷敏 姚宏伟

沙漠与绿洲气象2026,Vol.20Issue(1):43-50,8.
沙漠与绿洲气象2026,Vol.20Issue(1):43-50,8.DOI:10.12057/j.issn.2097-6801.2409.20001

一次东北冷涡降雹过程的防雹效果分析

Analysis of Hail Suppression during a Northeast Cold Vortex

尚博 1刘博 1蔡淼 2雷敏 1姚宏伟1

作者信息

  • 1. 长春市气象局,吉林 长春 130051
  • 2. 中国气象局人工影响天气中心,北京 100081||中国气象局云降水物理与人工影响天气重点开放实验室,北京 100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

This study analyzes the effectiveness of a hail suppression operation using anti-aircraft artillery during a northeast cold vortex event in Changchun on July 6,2023,based on ERA5 reanalysis data,weather radar data,and minute-resolution precipitation observations from automatic stations.The results showed that before the operation,strong radar echoes(≥45 dBZ)rapidly intensified within a short period,covering up to 70.4%of the area.The Vertical Integrated Liquid(VIL)exhibited a notable surge,with a maximum increase of 41 kg/m2 within 12 minutes.The Hail Index(HI)also indicated a high probability of hail.Following the operation,the maximum echo intensity gradually decreased,the area coverage of echoes≥45 dBZ declined,echo volumes dispersed and split,the central height of echoes noticeably lowered,VIL decreased,and HI gradually dropped to zero.Compared to the upstream and downstream control areas,the operational area exhibited lower total precipitation,reduced variability in precipitation intensity,and fewer distinct precipitation peaks.The maximum precipitation peak in the operational area occurred after the operational effects had diminished.These findings suggest that the hail suppression operation effectively inhibited the natural development of hail.

关键词

东北冷涡/防雹作业/效果分析

Key words

northeast cold vortex/hail suppression operation/effectiveness evaluation

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

尚博,刘博,蔡淼,雷敏,姚宏伟..一次东北冷涡降雹过程的防雹效果分析[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2026,20(1):43-50,8.

基金项目

中国气象局沈阳大气环境研究所联合开放基金(2022SYIAEKF2D03) (2022SYIAEKF2D03)

风云卫星应用先行计划(FY-APP-2022.0111) (FY-APP-2022.0111)

吉林省气象标准执行专项(QX/BZZX-202302) (QX/BZZX-202302)

沙漠与绿洲气象

2097-6801

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