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Low latency global carbon budget indicates reduced land carbon sink in the year 2024

Philippe Ciais Sönke Zaehle Ben Poulter Thomas Colligan Auke M.van der Woude Wouter Peters Zhu Liu Zhe Jin Xiangjun Tian Yilong Wang Junjie Liu Piyu Ke Sudhanshu Pandey Chris O'Dell Jiang Bian Chuanlong Zhou John Miller Xin Lan Jefferson Goncalves De Souza Michael O'Sullivan Pierre Friedlingstein Guido R.van der Werf Yitong Yao Glen P.Peters Frédéric Chevallier Stephen Sitch Wei Li Yidi Xu Xiaomeng Du Xiaofan Gui Ana Bastos

国家科学评论（英文版）2026，Vol.13Issue(2)：6-10,5.

国家科学评论（英文版）2026，Vol.13Issue(2)：6-10,5.DOI:10.1093/nsr/nwaf594

Low latency global carbon budget indicates reduced land carbon sink in the year 2024

Philippe Ciais ¹Sönke Zaehle ²Ben Poulter ³Thomas Colligan ⁴Auke M.van der Woude ⁵Wouter Peters ⁵Zhu Liu ⁶Zhe Jin ⁷Xiangjun Tian ⁸Yilong Wang ⁸Junjie Liu ⁹Piyu Ke ¹⁰Sudhanshu Pandey ⁹Chris O'Dell ¹¹Jiang Bian ¹²Chuanlong Zhou ¹John Miller ¹³Xin Lan ¹⁴Jefferson Goncalves De Souza ¹⁵Michael O'Sullivan ¹⁵Pierre Friedlingstein ¹⁶Guido R.van der Werf ⁵Yitong Yao ¹⁷Glen P.Peters ¹⁸Frédéric Chevallier ¹Stephen Sitch ¹⁵Wei Li ⁶Yidi Xu ¹Xiaomeng Du ⁶Xiaofan Gui ¹²Ana Bastos¹⁹

作者信息

1. Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement,University Paris Saclay CEA CNRS,France
2. Biogeochemical Signals Department,Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry,Germany
3. Spark Climate Solutions,USA
4. Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center,University of Maryland,College Park,USA
5. Environmental Sciences Group,Dept of Meteorology and Air Quality,Wageningen University,the Netherlands
6. Department of Earth System Science,Tsinghua University,China
7. Institute of Carbon Neutrality,Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science,College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Peking University,China
8. State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System,Environment and Resources(TPESER),Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research,Chinese Academy of Sciences,China
9. Jet Propulsion Laboratory,California Institute of Technology,Pasadena,USA
10. Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement,University Paris Saclay CEA CNRS,France||Department of Earth System Science,Tsinghua University,China||Faculty o Environment,Science and Economy,University of Exeter,UK
11. Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere,Colorado State University,Fort Collins,USA
12. Machine learning group,Microsoft research,China
13. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Global Monitoring Laboratory,USA
14. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Global Monitoring Laboratory,USA||Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences,University of Colorado Boulder,USA
15. Faculty o Environment,Science and Economy,University of Exeter,UK
16. Faculty o Environment,Science and Economy,University of Exeter,UK||Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique,IPSL,CNRS,ENS,Université PSL,Sorbonne Université,École Polytechnique,France
17. Department of Earth and Environmental Engineering,Columbia University,USA
18. CICERO Center for International Climate Research,Norway
19. Institute for Earth System Science and Remote Sensing,Leipzig University,Germany
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摘要

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Philippe Ciais,Sönke Zaehle,Ben Poulter,Thomas Colligan,Auke M.van der Woude,Wouter Peters,Zhu Liu,Zhe Jin,Xiangjun Tian,Yilong Wang,Junjie Liu,Piyu Ke,Sudhanshu Pandey,Chris O'Dell,Jiang Bian,Chuanlong Zhou,John Miller,Xin Lan,Jefferson Goncalves De Souza,Michael O'Sullivan,Pierre Friedlingstein,Guido R.van der Werf,Yitong Yao,Glen P.Peters,Frédéric Chevallier,Stephen Sitch,Wei Li,Yidi Xu,Xiaomeng Du,Xiaofan Gui,Ana Bastos..Low latency global carbon budget indicates reduced land carbon sink in the year 2024[J].国家科学评论（英文版）,2026,13(2):6-10,5.

基金项目

P.C.,F.C.,A.B.,S.S.and P.F.acknowledge support from the European Space Agency Climate Space RECCAP2-CS project(ESAESR1N/4000144908),the ESA Carbon-RO(4000140982/23/I-EF)and the CALIPSO project funded by the generosity of Schmidt Science.P.C.and G.P.P.received funding from the European Union's Horizon Europe research and innova-tion programme under grant agreement No.101081395(EYE-CLIMA).The CAMS simula-tions were granted access to the HPC resources of TGCC under the allocation A0170102201 made by GENCI.A.B.thanks Evgenii Churiulin for support in setting up the OCN model simu-lations.The work of J.L.and S.P.was conducted at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory,California Institute of Technology,under a contract with the National Aeronautics and Space Adminis-tration(80NM0018D0004).Additionally,J.L.acknowledges funding support from the NASA Orbiting Carbon Observatory Science Team program.AvdW acknowledges Remco de Kok,Ingrid Luijkx and Joram Hooghiem for their contributions to CTE-HR and the ICOS-CP for hosting CTE-HR data.This work was also supported by a computing grant from the Dutch national e-infrastructure with the support of the SURF Cooperative(NWO-2023.003).The authors also acknowledge sponsorship from Microsoft Research Asia(MSRA).This research was supported in part by the NOAA cooperative agreement NA22OAR4320151.The statements,findings,conclusions,and recommendations are those of the author(s)and do not necessarily re-flect the views of NOAA or the U.S.Department of Commerce. （ESAESR1N/4000144908）

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