干旱区研究2026，Vol.43Issue(2)：224-235,12.DOI:10.13866/j.azr.2026.02.02
陕西省城市气候承载力分析
Analysis of urban climate carrying capacity in Shaanxi Province
摘要
Abstract
Based on the meteorological data and socio-economic development statistics of 10 cities in Shaanxi Province from 2000 to 2022,an evaluation system of climate carrying capacities comprising natural human cou-pling factors is constructed.The system covers four criteria levels,including natural climate capacity,extreme cli-mate event pressure,urban climate pressure,and urban coordinated development ability,involving 27 indicators,including annual average temperature,total industrial output value,and environmental protection investment.The change characteristics and driving mechanism of each city's climate carrying capacity are deeply explored to fill the regional research gap,improve the evaluation system,handle the dual pressure of climate change and urban-ization,and support the sustainable development of cities.The results show that the climate carrying capacity of most cities exhibited an upward trend during the study period,indicating that the capacity of the climate system for urban development has been enhanced,and plain areas exhibited higher climate carrying capacities.The natu-ral climate capacities of Yan'an and Ankang are relatively stable,and the climate risk of other cities tends to in-crease.The urban extreme climate pressure is affected by multiple factors,such as rainstorms,gales,and high temperatures,and fluctuates violently.The climate pressure of most cities showed a notable upward trend,and this pressure gradually increased with rapid urbanization.The coordinated development capacity of all cities showed a prominent upward trend,and the growth rate was substantially higher than that of the urban climate pressure.By studying and clarifying the spatiotemporal differentiation characteristics of the climate carrying ca-pacities of cities in Shaanxi Province,we can identify the key driving factors and risk points,facilitate the con-struction of climate-adaptive cities,and provide a demonstration path for resource-based city transformation.关键词
气候承载力/定量评估/城市化/气候变暖/陕西省Key words
climate carrying capacity/quantitative assessment/urbanization/climate warming/Shaanxi Prov-ince引用本文复制引用
张高健,惠英,曲静,杨睿,蔡惠文..陕西省城市气候承载力分析[J].干旱区研究,2026,43(2):224-235,12.基金项目
中国气象局秦岭和黄土高原生态环境气象重点实验室开放基金课题(2024G-42) （2024G-42）
陕西省自然科学重点研发计划项目(2025NC-YBXM-305) （2025NC-YBXM-305）
陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目(2025JC-YBMS-325,2025JC-YBMS-347) （2025JC-YBMS-325,2025JC-YBMS-347）
