宁夏电力Issue(1)：62-67,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-3643.2026.01.009
基于用电量特征的单相电能表业扩新装需求预测模型研究
Research on a forecasting model for the new service connection demand of single-phase electric energy meters based on electricity consumption characteristics
摘要
Abstract
The demand for new service connections and electric energy meter installations is significantly driven by electricity consumption growth.To improve forecasting accuracy and resource allocation efficiency,this study investigates a demand forecasting approach for newly installed meters based on electricity consumption characteristics.Key influen-cing factors are identified,and typical growth patterns are extracted through analysis of user electricity consumption across different industries and regions.A combined forecasting model integrating time series and machine learning algorithms is constructed,incorporating multi-source data and dynamic trends.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed model outperforms traditional methods in terms of accuracy,stability,and adaptability,providing effective decision support for power enterprise expansion planning.关键词
用电增长/业扩新装/区域电能表/需求量/自动预测Key words
electricity consumption growth/new service connection/regional electric energy meter/demand/automated forecasting分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
侯蕊,严绍奎,刘朋远..基于用电量特征的单相电能表业扩新装需求预测模型研究[J].宁夏电力,2026,(1):62-67,6.基金项目
国网宁夏电力有限公司科技项目(5229YX24000B) （5229YX24000B）
