水利经济2026，Vol.44Issue(1)：104-111,8.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1003-9511.2026.01.012
基于AHP-Shapley值法的经营性水利风景区PPP项目风险分担机制研究
The risk sharing mechanism of PPP projects in operational water conservancy scenic spots based on the AHP-Shapley value method
摘要
Abstract
Clarifying the subject of risk bearing and sharing proportion of Public-Private Partnership(PPP)project in operational water conservancy scenic spots is fundamental to attracting social capital,fostering government-enterprise collaboration,and ensuring the healthy and sustainable development of such projects.Using the WSR methodology,this paper identifies 23 risks in PPP projects for operational water conservancy scenic spots based on the three dimensions of Wuli,Shili,and Renli.It establishes risk sharing principles and clarifies the responsible entities for each risk.For risks to be jointly borne by the government and enterprises,a stochastic cooperative game model is constructed,and the AHP-Shapley value method is used to calculate the Shapley value for risk sharing.A proportional risk sharing model between the government and enterprises for jointly borne risks in such projects is established.The feasibility of the model is verified using a case study of a PPP project in an operational water conservancy scenic spot in Jiangsu Province.The results indicate that risks and their responsible entities in PPP projects for operational water conservancy scenic spots can be systematically identified based on the dimensions of Wuli,Shili,and Renli,and the proportion of risks that should be shared between the government and enterprises is determined using the AHP-Shapley value method.关键词
水利风景区/政府和社会资本合作/风险分担/AHP-Shapley值法/WSR方法Key words
water conservancy scenic spot/public-private partnership/risk sharing/AHP-Shapley value method/WSR method引用本文复制引用
吴兆丹,王诗琪,雷一诺,徐丹丹..基于AHP-Shapley值法的经营性水利风景区PPP项目风险分担机制研究[J].水利经济,2026,44(1):104-111,8.基金项目
江苏省社会科学基金项目(23 GLC003,22GLB018) （23 GLC003,22GLB018）
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(人文专项)(B230207063) （人文专项）
