山东建筑大学学报2026,Vol.41Issue(1):119-126,8.DOI:10.12077/sdjz.2026.01.015
山东省建筑业发展与经济增长关系的研究
Study on the relationship between the development of construction industry and economic growth in Shandong Province
摘要
Abstract
The construction industry is one of the pillar industries of the national economy and plays a vital role in promoting economic and social development.As a huge and complex industrial chain,it not only drives the growth of related industries,but also directly affects employment and resident's quality of life.Using data on the construction industry and economic development of Shandong Province from 1998 to 2023,this study conducts an empirical analysis of the relationship between the total output value of the construction industry and the gross domestic product(GDP)of Shandong Province by applying econometric software including EViews,R,and MATLAB.The results show that there is a long-term stable cointegration relationship between the total output value of the construction industry and GDP in Shandong Province;however,in the short term,fluctuations in the construction industry have little impact on economic growth,and economic fluctuations do not exert a significant impact on the construction industry.Granger causality analysis indicates that the total output value of the construction industry is a unidirectional Granger cause of GDP,demonstrating a long-term one-way causal relationship in which the growth of the construction industry drives economic growth.关键词
建筑业/国民经济/协整检验/格兰杰因果分析Key words
construction industry/national economy/cointegration test/Granger causality analysis分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
车参仪,赵庆利,李存杰..山东省建筑业发展与经济增长关系的研究[J].山东建筑大学学报,2026,41(1):119-126,8.基金项目
教育部产学研协同育人项目(231107099132923) (231107099132923)
山东省教育科学规划创新素养专项重点课题(2022CZD006) (2022CZD006)