统计与决策2026，Vol.42Issue(2)：100-105,6.DOI:10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2026.02.016
中国农业产业链供应链韧性水平的区域差异、动态演进及空间收敛特征
Regional Differences,Dynamic Evolution and Spatial Convergence Characteristics of Agricultural Industrial and Supply Chain Resilience Level in China
摘要
Abstract
This paper measures the resilience of China's agricultural industrial chain and supply chain across 31 provinces from 2012 to 2021 by using the entropy weight method,and further examines their regional differences,dynamic evolution,and spa-tial convergence characteristics by employing the Dagum Gini coefficient and its decomposition method,kernel density estimation,Moran's Index,and spatial econometric models.The results go as the following:(1)During the sample period,the overall level of ag-ricultural industrial and supply chain resilience in China exhibits a sustained upward trend,with pronounced gradient disparities across the four major regions and substantial interprovincial heterogeneity.(2)Interregional differences constitute the primary source of overall differences,their contribution declines over time,while intraregional differences are particularly salient in the east-ern and western regions.(3)Interprovincial differences in resilience continue to widen,but no multi-polarization phenomenon has emerged.(4)Although neither national nor regional resilience levels displayσ convergence,both absolute and conditional β conver-gence are observed,suggesting a long-run tendency toward region-specific steady states at heterogeneous convergence speeds.Moreover,agricultural economic scale,population density,government support,and regional market size exert significantly hetero-geneous effects on resilience across regions.关键词
农业产业链供应链韧性/区域差异/动态演进/空间收敛Key words
resilience of agricultural industrial chain and supply chain/regional differences/dynamic evolution/spatial con-vergence分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王成,王玉峰..中国农业产业链供应链韧性水平的区域差异、动态演进及空间收敛特征[J].统计与决策,2026,42(2):100-105,6.基金项目
国家社会科学基金资助项目(21XGL007) （21XGL007）
