电力勘测设计Issue(2)：1-7,42,8.DOI:10.13500/j.dlkcsj.issn1671-9913.2026.02.001
电力规划研究中的电动汽车顶峰潜力预测方法
Prediction Method for Electric Vehicles Discharge Potential in Electric Power Planning Research
摘要
Abstract
In power planning research,accurate estimation of the discharge capacity of electric vehicles(EVs)is required to optimize the allocation of power resources and to rationally plan the industry's carbon-peaking pathway.Existing research on EV discharge capacity prediction is mostly limited to micro-regions within cities,with few studies covering the provincial or national scale across China.This paper proposes a novel prediction method that evaluates discharge potential during midday and evening load peaks of private cars,official vehicles and electric buses,based on prediction of EV parameters,user behavior characteristics,and Vehicle-to-Grid(V2G)demands for each region during the planning period.Preliminary calculations for 2030 align well with policy targets,suggesting that V2G can provide gigawatt-level regulation capacity.The results obtained from accurate V2G parameter predictions could offer valuable insights to energy authorities for optimizing power generation and grid infrastructure planning.关键词
电力规划/电动汽车/车网互动/顶峰放电Key words
electric power planning/electric vehicle(EV)/vehicle-to-grid(V2G)/discharge potential分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
王涛,吴婧,张剑..电力规划研究中的电动汽车顶峰潜力预测方法[J].电力勘测设计,2026,(2):1-7,42,8.
