交通运输研究2026，Vol.12Issue(1)：12-24,13.DOI:10.16503/j.cnki.2095-9931.2026.01.002
京津冀物流业碳排放与经济增长的脱钩状态及驱动因素
Decoupling Status and Driving Factors of Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth in Logistics Industry in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
摘要
Abstract
To investigate the decoupling status and driving mechanism between carbon emissions and economic growth in the logistics industry of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,this study selected the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei logistics industry as the research subject.A Tapio decoupling model of carbon emissions was established to assess the decoupling status between carbon emissions and economic growth in the logistics industry of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2005 to 2022.Subsequently,the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index(LMDI)approach was employed to decompose the key drivers behind carbon emission decoupling,categorizing them into six factors:energy structure,energy consumption intensity,logistics efficiency,transportation intensity,economic growth,and population size effect.The results indicate that:①over the study period,carbon emissions within the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei logistics industry increased steadily,accompanied by pronounced regional disparities;②weak decoupling characterized the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in the logistics industry of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region;while emissions grew at a slower pace than the economy,full decoupling remained elusive,indicating persistent reliance on carbon-intensive development;③The energy structure,logistics efficiency,and economic growth factors significantly propelled the decoupling process.Therefore,to facilitate the achievement of the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals,the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region needs to further optimize its energy consumption structure,build a multi-dimensional driven energy transformation ecosystem,deepen the coordinated layout of industry-population-logistics,and promote the green transformation of the logistics industry.关键词
物流业碳排放/京津冀/Tapio脱钩/LMDI模型/驱动因素Key words
carbon emissions of logistics industry/Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region/Tapio decou-pling/LMDI model/driving factors分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
伍佳妮,万振霞..京津冀物流业碳排放与经济增长的脱钩状态及驱动因素[J].交通运输研究,2026,12(1):12-24,13.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(72104037) （72104037）
陕西省创新能力支撑计划项目(2024ZC-YBXM-126) （2024ZC-YBXM-126）
中央高校基本科研业务费项目(300102231647) （300102231647）
长安大学研究生教育教学改革资助项目(300103140041) （300103140041）
