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自由贸易试验区建设对我国出口韧性的影响

孟祥铭 李航

沈阳工业大学学报(社会科学版)2026,Vol.19Issue(1):47-57,11.
沈阳工业大学学报(社会科学版)2026,Vol.19Issue(1):47-57,11.DOI:10.7688/j.issn.1674-0823.2026.01.06

自由贸易试验区建设对我国出口韧性的影响

Impact of pilot free trade zone construction on China's export resilience

孟祥铭 1李航1

作者信息

  • 1. 沈阳工业大学 经济学院,辽宁 沈阳 110870
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Pilot free trade zone(FTZ)represents a major strategic initiative for China to advance high-standard opening-up,with important missions including optimizing the business environment and enhancing trade facilitation.Currently,China's export trade confronts multiple challenges,making enhancing export resilience a key factor in boosting international competitiveness and stabilizing trade growth.Based on panel data from 280 Chinese cities from 2010 to 2022,this paper employs a multi-period difference-in-differences(DID)model to systematically evaluate the impact of pilot FTZ establishment on export resilience,supplemented by robustness tests and heterogeneity analysis.Furthermore,it examines the moderating effects of the digital economy,market potential,human capital,and tax burden,and analyzes the spatial effects of pilot FTZ on export resilience using a spatial econometric model.This paper also explores how these moderating variables influence the spatial impact of pilot FTZ on the export resilience of neighboring regions.The findings are as follows.(1)Compared to cities without pilot FTZ,those with pilot FTZ experienced a 2.68%increase in export resilience,indicating that pilot FTZ establishment significantly enhances export resilience.(2)The digital economy,market potential,and human capital positively enhance export resilience,while an increase in corporate tax burden partially weakens the positive impact of pilot FTZ.(3)In terms of spatial effects,pilot FTZ policies significantly enhance local export resilience but exert limited impacts on the export stability of neighboring regions,with the spatial effects of the moderating variables exhibiting significant heterogeneity.Based on these conclusions,this paper proposes policy recommendations,including deepening the development of the digital economy,fully tapping into domestic market potential,strengthening the cultivation of high-quality talents,optimizing tax policies,and enhancing collaboration among pilot FTZ.These measures aim to promote digital trade development,optimize regional economic structures,and enhance policy synergy,thereby providing valuable references for boosting China's export resilience.

关键词

自由贸易试验区/出口韧性/调节效应/空间效应

Key words

pilot free trade zone/export resilience/moderating effect/spatial effects

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

孟祥铭,李航..自由贸易试验区建设对我国出口韧性的影响[J].沈阳工业大学学报(社会科学版),2026,19(1):47-57,11.

基金项目

辽宁省教育厅高校基本科研项目(LJ132510142001). (LJ132510142001)

沈阳工业大学学报(社会科学版)

OACHSSCD

1674-0823

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