沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）2026，Vol.19Issue(1)：70-77,8.DOI:10.7688/j.issn.1674-0823.2026.01.08
随机产出与需求下考虑努力水平的生鲜农产品供应链协调研究
Coordination of fresh agricultural product supply chains considering effort levels under stochastic output and demand
摘要
Abstract
The coordination of fresh agricultural product supply chains is a key pathway to reducing circulation losses and optimizing the matching of supply and demand.In response to the complex situation of overlapping stochastic output and demand,this paper constructs a three-level supply chain model composed of farmers,a single supplier,and a retailer,focusing on the coordination mechanism driven by dual efforts in production and preservation.By comparing centralized and decentralized decision-making models,this paper reveals that the total profit of supply chain members under decentralized decision-making is significantly lower than the system's total profit,highlighting an inherent contradiction.Based on this,an optimal decision-making framework centered on production effort,preservation effort,pricing,and order quantity is proposed.Further,a coordination optimization scheme combining a"revenue sharing+cost sharing"contract with risk-sharing strategies is designed to prove that this composite contract can effectively eliminate the double marginalization effect and bring the expected profit of decentralized decision-making to the Pareto optimal level of centralized decision-making.The research findings indicate that the realization of supply chain coordination depends on the precise positioning of member roles-suppliers can significantly increase the circulation scale of fresh agricultural products by deeply focusing on consumer utility,forming a win-win situation for all parties;enterprises'active sharing of farmers'production risks becomes a key lever to enhance the overall chain profit,and its risk compensation mechanism can simultaneously motivate farmers to increase production effort and product quality.This paper provides a"production-preservation-circulation"three-dimensional collaborative decision-making paradigm for the contract coordination of multi-level fresh agricultural product supply chains,offering theoretical support and practical references for mitigating the bullwhip effect in agricultural product supply chains and promoting the implementation of the rural revitalization strategy.关键词
生鲜农产品供应链/随机产出/随机需求/努力水平/组合契约Key words
fresh agricultural product supply chain/random output/random demand/effort level/combination contract分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
于丽娟,王学文,祝爱民,蒋洋..随机产出与需求下考虑努力水平的生鲜农产品供应链协调研究[J].沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）,2026,19(1):70-77,8.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(71401109). （71401109）
