干旱区资源与环境2026，Vol.40Issue(3)：81-91,11.DOI:10.13448/j.cnki.jalre.2026.045
农村劳动力老龄化对耕地碳排放的影响研究
Impact of rural labor force aging on carbon emissions from farmland:A Perspective of production decision adjustments
摘要
Abstract
Achieving low-carbon emissions from cultivated land is crucial for promoting sustainable agricultural development.To clarify the micro-level impact of rural labor force aging on cultivated land carbon emissions and its underlying mechanisms,this study conducts a series of empirical test by employing least squares regression and mediation effect model based on survey data from 848 grain-farming households along Yellow River basin in Shandong Province.The findings reveal:1)Rural labor force aging significantly reduces carbon emission intensity from farmland,a conclusion that holds after a series of endogeneity and robustness tests.2)Mechanism analysis from the perspective of production decision adjustments indicates that achieving large-scale farmland management,accelerating agricultural technological progress,and enhancing agricultural socialized services are three key pathways through which rural labor force aging influences farmland carbon emission intensity.3)Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the suppression effect of rural labor force aging on arable land carbon emissions is more pronounced in regions with higher household income levels,higher education attainment,and larger arable land scales.Based on these findings,a policy combination is proposed:guiding the realization of intensive and scaled arable land management,promoting green agricultural technological innovation,and improving the socialized service system.This approach transforms the pressure of labor force aging into new momentum for green arable land production,providing micro-level evidence for achieving the"dual carbon"goals.关键词
农村劳动力老龄化/耕地碳排放/耕地规模经营/农业技术进步/农业社会化服务Key words
aging of rural labor force/carbon emissions from cultivated land/large-scale farming operations/agricultural technological progress/agricultural socialized services分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李英杰,董丽晶,贾腾羽,巩子晗,唐海云..农村劳动力老龄化对耕地碳排放的影响研究[J].干旱区资源与环境,2026,40(3):81-91,11.基金项目
教育部人文社会科学研究项目(24YJAZH180) （24YJAZH180）
河北省社科基金项目(HB22MK033) （HB22MK033）
国家社科基金重点项目(24AJY025)资助. （24AJY025）
