环境保护科学2026，Vol.52Issue(1)：11-17,7.DOI:10.16803/j.cnki.issn.1004-6216.BJUT202411003
中国能源消费与二氧化碳排放双重约束下经济增长尾效研究
Growth drag of economic growth under the dual constraints of energy consumption and CO2 emissions in China
摘要
Abstract
Energy serves as a cornerstone for the high-quality development of China's economy,yet environmental pollution resulting from excessive energy consumption imposes constraints on economic growth.Based on panel data from 30 provinces,municipalities,and autonomous regions in China from 2000 to 2019,and grounded in Romer's endogenous growth theory,an economic growth drag model incorporating energy consumption and CO2 emissions was constructed.By introducing spatial effects,a spatial econometric model was further established to measure the constraining intensity of energy consumption and CO2 emissions on economic growth as well as the impact of spatial spillover effects.The results showed that the economic growth of all 30 provinces,municipalities,and autonomous regions in China was constrained by energy consumption and CO2 emissions to varying degrees,with most regions,particularly in the eastern and central parts of the country,exhibiting high constraint characteristics.It was also found that omitting spatial effects would lead to an overestimation of the drag value,whereas spatial spillover effects arising from interregional factor flows could alleviate the drag constraint.Accordingly,formulating energy and environmental policies should take into account regional spatial linkages and factor mobility,with differentiated policies implemented to mitigate the constraints imposed by energy and environmental factors on economic growth.关键词
经济增长/能源消费/二氧化碳排放/尾效/空间效应Key words
economic growth/energy consumption/CO2 emission/tail effect/spatial effect分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
秦思达,陈阳..中国能源消费与二氧化碳排放双重约束下经济增长尾效研究[J].环境保护科学,2026,52(1):11-17,7.基金项目
辽宁省经济社会发展研究(2026lslqnwzzkt-062) （2026lslqnwzzkt-062）
