科技创新发展战略研究2026，Vol.10Issue(1)：38-57,20.
基于博弈论的我国高技术产业"技术创新生态陷阱"传导关系研究
Study on the Transmission Relationship of"Technological Innovation Ecosystem Trap"in China's High-Tech Industry Based on Game Theory
摘要
Abstract
Latecomers to the market find it difficult to break into the relatively solidified supply chain system,which traps the R&D of some core technologies or products in a vicious development cycle of"strained breakthroughs-inadequate iteration-insufficient application-widening gaps",a predicament defined as the technological innovation ecosystem trap.The so-called"technological innovation ecosystem trap"has become a new bottleneck restricting the development of China's high-tech industry in the new era.However,from the perspective of technological innovation ecosystems,there is currently a lack of targeted research comprehensively addressing issues such as technology commercialization,domestic substitution,and innovation breakthroughs.Therefore,this paper starts with the supply chain of R&D-application of high-tech industry in China,and constructs a three-in-one evolutionary game model of domestic upstream manufacturers,international giant suppliers,and domestic downstream manufacturers.The game dynamics among all participants are simulated under two scenarios of free competition and international sanctions,to reveal the dynamic transmission relationship and specific transmission mechanism of industrial technological innovation ecosystem trap,and seek the path breakthrough the bottleneck technological innovation ecosystem trap of China's high-tech industry.The research findings indicate that:in the context of free competition,domestic downstream manufacturers have formed a collaboration inertia with international leading suppliers,which renders domestic upstream manufacturers confronted with formidable barriers to breakthrough.These manufacturers are also plagued by multiple challenges,including great difficulties in high-quality product development,insufficient downstream market demand,and limited profit margins.In the context of international sanctions,however,the collaboration inertia between domestic downstream manufacturers and international leading suppliers may be forced to break,thereby enabling domestic upstream manufacturers to gain opportunities for iterative application.Accordingly,this paper further puts forward countermeasures and suggestions from the three levels of enterprise,industry and government,which includes increasing R&D investment and deepening collaborative cooperation;building a tightly integrated collaborative ecosystem,developing an application-driven R&D supply model,and establishing industrialization pathways;and increasing policy support and preferential measures.关键词
高技术产业/"技术创新生态陷阱"/博弈论/自由竞争/国际制裁Key words
high-tech industries/technological innovation ecosystem trap/game theory/free competition/international sanctions分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
陈相,李玲,关皓元,马渊博..基于博弈论的我国高技术产业"技术创新生态陷阱"传导关系研究[J].科技创新发展战略研究,2026,10(1):38-57,20.基金项目
广东省哲学社会科学规划一般项目"广东省高技术产业技术创新生态陷阱的传导机制及其防范研究"(GD24CYJ18) （GD24CYJ18）
广东省基础与应用基础研究基金项目"'逆全球化'新格局下的集成电路产业链路径重塑研究:基于竞合突围与双驱创新链模型"(2024A1515012797) （2024A1515012797）
广东省科技计划项目"广东科技创新强省建设中产业科技互促双强若干重点问题研究"(2025B0808010001),"科技创新宏观决策研究"(2024B0808010001) （2025B0808010001）
