水利学报2026，Vol.57Issue(1)：153-167,15.DOI:10.3724/j.slxb.20250597
新时代中国水电系统调度发展分析及技术展望
Development analysis and technological prospect for China's hydropower system dispatching in the new era
摘要
Abstract
The successive implementation of national strategies such as"New Electricity Reform","Dual Carbon Goals",and"AI+"has propelled China's hundred-gigawatt-scale hydropower system into a new era.As the"brain"guiding the operation of hydropower systems,hydropower dispatching urgently needs to adapt to the more complex environment and requirements of this new era to support the efficient operation of the world's largest hydropower system.This paper discusses the ongoing and potential future development trends of hydropower system dispatching in China.The first is a shift from centralized dispatching to market-oriented operation to achieve more efficient alloca-tion of high-quality green hydropower.The second is a transition from independent hydropower dispatching to comple-mentary dispatching of hydropower and new energy sources,to better leverage the flexible regulation role of hydro-power.The third is a move from human-computer modeling for optimized dispatching toward intelligent reasoning-based dispatching,making complex modeling and computation for large-scale hydropower systems simpler and more efficient.Meanwhile,the paper analyzes the key technological challenges facing the development of hydropower dis-patching in China,summarizes research progress and prospects,and aims to provide references for professionals in the field to build a new-era hydropower dispatching technological system.关键词
水电系统/水电调度/水电市场化/水电与新能源互补/水电智能推理调度Key words
hydropower system/hydropower dispatching/hydropower marketization/complementary operations of hydropower and new energies/intelligent reasoning-based hydropower dispatching分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
申建建..新时代中国水电系统调度发展分析及技术展望[J].水利学报,2026,57(1):153-167,15.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(U23A20667) （U23A20667）
