水利学报2026，Vol.57Issue(2)：169-180,12.DOI:10.3724/j.slxb.20250288
流域"河-库系统"水文模拟与预报(Ⅱ):科学问题与研究展望
Basin hydrological modelling and forecasting of"River-Reservoir System"Ⅱ:Key challenges,scientific issues,and research perspectives
摘要
Abstract
The"River-Reservoir System"has altered the subsurface conditions of the basin,leading to significant changes in water-vapor circulation regulation,yield and confluence characteristics,and flood routing process within the watershed.As a result,the applicability of traditional hydrological modelling methods is now facing serious chal-lenges.In this paper,the research progress on the mechanism and modelling of catchment yield and confluence,river flood routing,and intelligent flood forecasting under the changing environment is systematically reviewed.From the aspects of spatial anisotropy,time-variable parameters,nonlinearity of yield flow,and blocking of flood routing,we analyze the key points of hydrological simulation and forecasting in the"River-Reservoir System"and summarize the key scientific and technological problems to be solved.Finally,the framework and content of future research are pros-pected,with the aim of providing a reference for the research and development of refined hydrological simulation and forecasting for reservoirs(groups).关键词
"河-库系统"/产汇流模型/河道洪水演进/智能洪水预报Key words
river-reservoir system/yield-confluence modelling/river flood routing/intelligent flood forecasting分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
程海云,夏军,张俊,陈瑜彬,徐雨妮,崔震..流域"河-库系统"水文模拟与预报(Ⅱ):科学问题与研究展望[J].水利学报,2026,57(2):169-180,12.基金项目
国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFC3200301) （2021YFC3200301）
国家自然科学基金项目(U2340213) （U2340213）
