水利学报2026，Vol.57Issue(2)：232-244,13.DOI:10.3724/j.slxb.20250402
基于细菌觅食优化Stacking集成学习的钻孔效率预测模型研究
Research on a borehole drilling efficiency prediction model based on bacterial foraging optimization stacking ensemble learning
摘要
Abstract
Borehole drilling efficiency is a key parameter in construction progress simulation of rock-fill dam quarry excavation,and its prediction accuracy directly affects the reliability of the simulation model.To address the issue of low prediction accuracy efficiency in existing mathematical methods,the difficulty of single learners meeting simula-tion accuracy requirements,and insufficient local search refinement in hyperparameter tuning within ensemble learn-ing research,this paper proposes a borehole drilling efficiency prediction model based on Bacterial Foraging Optimi-zation for Stacking ensemble learning.First,a dataset was constructed using on-site drilling efficiency data from a rock-fill dam as the target variable and its influencing factors(e.g.,borehole depth,rock properties,altitude)as fea-ture variables.Second,three heterogeneous base learners(XGBoost,LightGBM,and MLP)were trained in paral-lel,and the Bacterial Foraging Optimization algorithm—simulating chemotaxis and reproduction—was introduced to iteratively optimize each base learner's hyperparameters by tracking the R² curve in real time,ensuring stable"meta-features"output.Finally,the base learners'predictions were input to a Support Vector Regression(SVR)meta-learner;by integrating complementary information from multiple models,the ensemble prediction was obtained while suppressing bias and variance.Experimental results show that after Bacterial Foraging Optimization,each base learner's R² can exceed 0.93 and PCC are all above 0.97;the ensemble model's learning curve over the full sample set is smooth and stable,residual analysis indicates residuals are evenly distributed around the zero-mean line,and the final PCC approaches 0.98,meeting the requirements of construction process simulation.关键词
钻孔效率/施工仿真/Stacking集成学习/XGBoost/LightGBM/MLP/支持向量机Key words
borehole drilling efficiency/construction simulation/Stacking ensemble learning/XGBoost/Light-GBM/MLP/support vector machine分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
关涛,缴春祺,俞澎,余佳,郭振邦,程正飞..基于细菌觅食优化Stacking集成学习的钻孔效率预测模型研究[J].水利学报,2026,57(2):232-244,13.基金项目
高寒条件下考虑鲁棒性的高拱坝施工过程智能仿真(52379131) （52379131）
国家自然科学基金原创探索计划项目(52350417) （52350417）
国家自然科学基金联合基金重点项目(U24B20111) （U24B20111）
国家自然科学基金项目(52279137) （52279137）
中国电力建设股份有限公司科技项目(DJ-ZDXM-2020-50) （DJ-ZDXM-2020-50）
