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基于分位数回归模型的2型糖尿病足患者住院费用影响因素分析

罗茜 张慧芳 郭钊 张祥祥 任超 武嘉乐 贾中伟

山西医科大学学报2026,Vol.57Issue(2):193-200,8.
山西医科大学学报2026,Vol.57Issue(2):193-200,8.DOI:10.13753/j.issn.1007-6611.2026.02.011

基于分位数回归模型的2型糖尿病足患者住院费用影响因素分析

Influencing factors of hospitalization costs in patients with type 2 diabetic foot based on a quantile regression model

罗茜 1张慧芳 1郭钊 2张祥祥 2任超 2武嘉乐 2贾中伟3

作者信息

  • 1. 山西医科大学公共卫生学院劳动卫生教研室,太原 030001
  • 2. 山西医科大学第五临床医学院
  • 3. 山西医科大学第五临床医学院||山西省人民医院骨科
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective To analyze the influencing factors of hospitalization cost in patients with type 2 diabetic foot based on health economics,thus providing evidence-based support for optimizing hierarchical diagnosis and treatment strategies for diabetic foot and the rational allocation of medical resources.Methods The data of 237 patients with type 2 diabetic foot hospitalized in Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital from 2022 to 2024 were collected.A quantile regression analysis was conducted to examine the determi-nants of hospitalization costs at the 10 th,50 th,and 90 th percentiles of its conditional distribution,and the importance of different influencing factors were ranked using a random forest model.Results The average total hospitalization cost for the 237 patients was 23 376.43 yuan,and the average hospital stay was 15 d.Univariate analysis revealed that age,occupation,length of hospital stay,treatment outcome,Wagner grade,and amputation(toe)status showed statistically significant differences in hospitalization costs for type 2 diabetic foot patients across subgroups(P<0.05).The number of surgery and the frequency of dressing changes were signifi-cantly positively correlated with hospitalization costs(P<0.001).Quantile regression analysis revealed that the length of hospital stay was the primary driver of costs,Wagner grade 4-5 was a key factor in increasing the financial burden for patients with median-level expenses,while the age of 40-59 years was a risk factor for extremely high costs.An increased number of surgical procedures signifi-cantly raised medical expenses in patients with low to median costs(10 th,50 th percentiles)(all P<0.05).The variable importance was ranked by random forest model as follows:hospitalization duration,number of operations,dressing change frequency,treatment efficacy,amputation(toe),employment status,Wagner grade,and age.Conclusion Based on quantile regression analysis,this study reveals that the hospitalization costs of patients with T2DF exhibit a heterogeneous distribution.Age,length of hospital stay,number of surgical procedures,and Wagner grade exert varying influences at different quantiles of hospitalization costs.

关键词

2型糖尿病足/卫生经济学/住院费用/分位数回归/随机森林/影响因素

Key words

type 2 diabetic foot/health economics/hospitalization costs/quantile regression/random forest/influencing factors

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

罗茜,张慧芳,郭钊,张祥祥,任超,武嘉乐,贾中伟..基于分位数回归模型的2型糖尿病足患者住院费用影响因素分析[J].山西医科大学学报,2026,57(2):193-200,8.

基金项目

山西省基础研究计划项目(202103021224367) (202103021224367)

山西省医学重点科研项目(2023XM049) (2023XM049)

山西省卫生健康委科研课题计划项目(2023034) (2023034)

山西医科大学学报

1007-6611

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