地理空间信息2026，Vol.24Issue(3)：71-77,7.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1672-4623.2026.03.015
关中平原城市群内涝灾害韧性评估与影响因素分析
Urban Flood Resilience Evaluation in the Guanzhong Plain Urban Agglomeration and Its Influence Factors Analysis
摘要
Abstract
Taking 11 prefecture-level cities in the Guanzhong plain urban agglomeration as the research object,we established an urban flood resilience evaluation system from economic,social and infrastructure three dimensions,used game theory combination weighting method,grey relational analysis method,and grey prediction model to evaluate and predict the resilience level of urban flood in the Guanzhong plain urban agglomeration,and proposed improvement strategies.The results indicate that ①the overall level of urban flood resilience in the Guanzhong plain urban agglomeration shows a fluctuating upward trend,significant differences are present in the resilience levels of three dimensions.②The urban flood level displays a spatial pattern with Xi'an as the core,gradually decreasing outward.Among the subsystem resilience,economic and social resilience have great development potential,while infrastructure resilience requires further enhancement.③The main factor influencing urban flood resilience is economic factor at the dimension level,with per capita disposable income showing the highest degree of correlation.④Urban flood resilience in the study area is expected to continue its growth from 2024 to 2028.The core status of cities like Baoji,Xianyang and Yuncheng gradually becomes more prominent.关键词
关中平原城市群/内涝灾害/韧性评估/灰色预测模型/博弈论组合赋权法Key words
Guanzhong plain urban agglomeration/urban flood/resilience evaluation/grey prediction model/game theory combination weighting method分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
郑安丽,宋军林,李景宜,折花花,周陆超,吴成森,郭俊理,孔金龙,文彦君..关中平原城市群内涝灾害韧性评估与影响因素分析[J].地理空间信息,2026,24(3):71-77,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(41771215) （41771215）
陕西省重大项目前期工作专项资助项目(202310) （202310）
陕西省重点实验室资助项目(13JS009) （13JS009）
宝鸡文理学院研究生科研创新资助项目(YJSCX24YB54) （YJSCX24YB54）
国家级大学生创新创业训练计划资助项目(202210721018). （202210721018）
